Sat, Mar 5, 2016·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Calgary Flames 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 64% of the time.
55%
9%
11%
25%
PIT winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 28:46 | 0.24 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 27:39 | 0.14 | 41.4% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:51 | 0.10 | 46.6% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:39 | 0.07 | 31.8% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.10 | 11.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:32 | 0.05 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:23 | 0.18 | 92.6% | +52.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.07 | 11.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.19 | 52.0% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.07 | 55.8% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:57 | 0.11 | 54.4% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.32 | 79.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.01 | 27.5% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.00 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.00 | 40.9% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 4:40 | 0.01 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.45 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27:20 | 0.17 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.28 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.12 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 21:36 | 0.64 | 91.3% | +35.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:59 | 0.27 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:58 | 0.23 | 92.8% | +35.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.02 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.03 | 54.4% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.06 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.22 | 77.6% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.04 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.23 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.13 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:02 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:01 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 1.66 | −2.3 | 56:35 |