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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 5, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Nashville Predators

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  3. P1 1:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 1:55Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 2:42Beauchemin: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Matthias · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Jarnkrok, Granberg, Johansen, Bitetto

  6. P1 2:41Shot by Granberg, saved by Pickard5v6
  7. P1 3:17Shot by Josi, saved by Pickard4v5
  8. P1 3:20Shot by Smith, saved by Pickard4v5
  9. P1 3:20Shot by Smith, saved by Pickard4v5
  10. P1 3:50Shot by Smith, saved by Pickard4v5
  11. P1 4:01Shot by Josi, saved by Pickard4v5
  12. P1 4:13Shot by Josi, saved by Pickard4v5
  13. P1 4:35Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard4v5
  14. P1 4:48Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard
  15. P1 5:56Shot by Salomaki, saved by Pickard
  16. P1 6:42Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 7:27Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 7:27Goal by Comeau (Soderberg, Matthias)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Matthias · NSH Neal, Jarnkrok, Granberg, Johansen, Bitetto

  19. P1 7:51Shot by Bodnarchuk, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 8:19Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 9:55Landeskog: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Matthias, Holden, Landeskog · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Granberg, Bitetto, Forsberg

  22. P1 10:58Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard4v5
  23. P1 11:54Shot by Fisher, saved by Pickard4v5
  24. P1 13:44Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 15:07Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard
  26. P1 15:22Shot by Granberg, saved by Pickard
  27. P1 18:39Watson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Bodnarchuk, Duchene, Grigorenko, Bigras · NSH Gaustad, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki

  28. P1 18:39Iginla: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Iginla, Bodnarchuk, Duchene, Grigorenko, Bigras · NSH Gaustad, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki

  29. P1 18:39Johansen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v4

    On ice: COL Iginla, Bodnarchuk, Duchene, Grigorenko, Bigras · NSH Gaustad, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson, Salomaki

  30. P1 19:05Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne5v4
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:34Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard
  34. P2 1:48Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 1:57Soderberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Matthias, Holden, Barrie · NSH Ribeiro, Smith, Granberg, Bitetto, Forsberg

  36. P2 1:50Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 3:01Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne4v5
  38. P2 3:51Shot by Johansen, saved by Pickard4v5
  39. P2 5:24Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 8:11Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 8:20Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pickard
  42. P2 10:13Gaustad: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Johnson, Bigras · NSH Gaustad, Watson, Granberg, Bitetto, Salomaki

  43. P2 10:13McLeod: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Johnson, Bigras · NSH Gaustad, Watson, Granberg, Bitetto, Salomaki

  44. P2 10:34Shot by Weber, saved by Pickard
  45. P2 10:56Shot by Johansen, saved by Pickard
  46. P2 11:18Shot by Weber, saved by Pickard
  47. P2 12:20Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 12:20Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 12:20Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Holden, Boedker, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg

  50. P2 12:58Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Pickard5v4
  51. P2 14:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne5v4
  52. P2 14:26Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 14:29Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne
  54. P2 15:30Goal by Forsberg (Smith, Ribeiro)+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Matthias, Holden, Barrie · NSH Ribeiro, Smith, Granberg, Bitetto, Forsberg

  55. P2 17:21Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  56. P2 17:31Shot by Watson, saved by Pickard
  57. P2 17:49Shot by Bodnarchuk, saved by Rinne
  58. P2 19:14Goal by Landeskog (MacKinnon, Beauchemin)+27 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Boedker, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Arvidsson

  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:02Goal by Neal (Johansen)+28 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Johnson, Boedker, Landeskog, MacKinnon · NSH Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen

  62. P3 1:30Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pickard
  63. P3 1:52Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 2:26Shot by Neal, saved by Pickard
  65. P3 2:32Shot by Granberg, saved by Pickard
  66. P3 2:54Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 2:55Shot by Skille, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 3:28Shot by Bodnarchuk, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 3:28Fisher: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Bodnarchuk, Duchene, Grigorenko, Bigras · NSH Fisher, Ellis, Ekholm, Salomaki, Arvidsson

  70. P3 3:55Shot by Josi, saved by Pickard5v4
  71. P3 3:57Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Pickard5v4
  72. P3 5:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne5v4
  73. P3 5:24Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne5v4
  74. P3 5:32Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 6:00Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  76. P3 7:10Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  77. P3 7:46Shot by Ellis, saved by Pickard
  78. P3 9:01Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pickard
  79. P3 9:22Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  80. P3 10:15Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard
  81. P3 10:16Goal by Fisher, unassisted+34 pts WP

    On ice: COL Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Bodnarchuk, Bigras · NSH Fisher, Ellis, Ekholm, Salomaki, Arvidsson

  82. P3 11:11Shot by Landeskog, saved by Rinne
  83. P3 11:41Shot by Fisher, saved by Pickard
  84. P3 11:54Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  85. P3 14:02Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Pickard
  86. P3 15:12Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  87. P3 15:57Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pickard
  88. P3 16:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  89. P3 18:22Goal by Weber (Forsberg, Watson)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko, MacKinnon · NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Watson, Forsberg

  90. P3 19:05Goal by Salomaki (Jarnkrok, Ekholm)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Comeau, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko · NSH Fisher, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Salomaki

  91. P3 19:47McLeod: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, McLeod, Skille, Bodnarchuk, Bigras · NSH Wilson, Watson, Granberg, Bitetto, Salomaki

  92. P3 19:59Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pickard4v5
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final