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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 5, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Nashville Predators 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 75% of the time.

COL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Neal–Jarnkrok–JohansenRibeiro–Smith–ForsbergGaustad–Watson–SalomakiFisher–Wilson–ArvidssonFisher–Salomaki–ArvidssonWilson–Jarnkrok–ArvidssonFisher–Neal–ArvidssonWeber–JosiEllis–EkholmGranberg–Bitetto
Boedker–Landeskog–MacKinnon1:460.00–0.312:420.49–0.271:300.00–0.001:540.07–0.141:320.11–0.104:520.16–0.346:450.55–0.490:430.00–0.02
Iginla–Duchene–Grigorenko1:230.01–0.002:510.06–0.010:590.03–0.021:190.00–0.001:370.13–0.020:580.13–0.001:060.07–0.005:210.52–0.025:580.25–0.03
Comeau–Soderberg–Matthias4:230.35–0.072:230.09–0.170:310.00–0.002:240.00–0.010:470.02–0.024:410.42–0.22
Mitchell–McLeod–Skille0:330.00–0.001:150.18–0.002:330.02–0.042:210.18–0.041:480.02–0.00
Holden–Barrie1:180.03–0.056:260.48–0.251:500.00–0.001:350.10–0.060:360.13–0.000:480.07–0.004:310.20–0.018:000.58–0.162:050.07–0.20
Beauchemin–Johnson7:300.36–0.322:380.20–0.210:420.03–0.000:480.01–0.055:240.22–0.344:210.04–0.283:420.36–0.02
Bodnarchuk–Bigras3:320.02–0.061:340.00–0.030:450.13–0.340:400.00–0.003:460.00–0.062:450.13–0.371:540.02–0.00
Johnson–Barrie1:000.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Beauchemin–Holden0:380.00–0.000:360.00–0.04
Johnson–Holden0:330.00–0.001:000.13–0.00
Beauchemin–Barrie0:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDuchene FIginla FGrigorenko FMacKinnon FBoedker FLandeskog FSoderberg FComeau FMatthias FMitchell FSkille FMcLeod FHolden DBarrie DBigras DBodnarchuk DJohnson DBeauchemin DPickard GForsberg FSmith FRibeiro FFisher FArvidsson FWilson FNeal FJarnkrok FJohansen FSalomaki FGaustad FWatson FWeber DJosi DEllis DEkholm DBitetto DGranberg DRinne G
COLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Shea WeberNSH3527:320:471:3677
Roman JosiNSH3526:470:461:3677
Erik JohnsonCOL3225:070:471:45210
Nick HoldenCOL3324:420:451:3529
Tyson BarrieCOL3024:210:491:4846
Francois BeaucheminCOL2623:430:553:0016
Ryan EllisNSH3123:420:461:4153
Mattias EkholmNSH3121:540:421:4144
Gabriel LandeskogCOL2620:580:481:1345
Filip ForsbergNSH2720:030:451:37102
Calle JarnkrokNSH3019:270:391:2735
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2318:230:481:1343
Mikkel BoedkerCOL2318:130:481:0653
James NealNSH2518:000:431:1364
Matt DucheneCOL2417:510:451:2243
Mike FisherNSH2517:150:411:1034
Mikhail GrigorenkoCOL2417:090:431:3643
Ryan JohansenNSH2216:170:441:3054
Mike RibeiroNSH2116:090:461:5550
Jarome IginlaCOL2115:430:451:3843
Blake ComeauCOL2515:260:371:1136
Miikka SalomakiNSH2115:080:431:2515
Craig SmithNSH2114:500:421:37110
Carl SoderbergCOL2113:390:391:1826
Shawn MatthiasCOL2013:000:391:1125
Viktor ArvidssonNSH1812:580:431:3513
John MitchellCOL1812:470:431:0644
Chris BigrasCOL1711:200:401:1241
Anthony BitettoNSH1810:160:341:1320
Petter GranbergNSH189:490:331:1320
Andrew BodnarchukCOL169:310:361:0740
Austin WatsonNSH139:160:431:1302
Colin WilsonNSH149:090:391:0501
Jack SkilleCOL106:370:400:4922
Cody McLeodCOL96:340:441:0622
Paul GaustadNSH85:420:431:1002