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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 7, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:25Goal by Komarov (Soshnikov, Rielly)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Soshnikov · BUF Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  3. P1 3:56Shot by Komarov, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 4:45Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sparks
  5. P1 4:52Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Sparks
  6. P1 6:35Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks
  7. P1 6:56Hyman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Corrado · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Girgensons, McCabe

  8. P1 8:02Kane: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Laich, Hunwick, Smith, Marincin · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Bogosian, Kane, Pysyk

  9. P1 8:06Shot by Holland, saved by Johnson4v4
  10. P1 8:24Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks4v4
  11. P1 9:35Gionta: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Greening, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Nylander · BUF Legwand, Gionta, Gorges, Ristolainen

  12. P1 9:35Shot by Gardiner, saved by Johnson5v3
  13. P1 10:03Shot by Komarov, saved by Johnson5v4
  14. P1 10:47Shot by Carrick, saved by Johnson5v4
  15. P1 11:05Goal by Boyes (Carrick, Gardiner)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Laich, Michalek, Gardiner, Carrick · BUF Legwand, Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe

  16. P1 12:54Shot by Catenacci, saved by Sparks
  17. P1 13:53Michalek: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Michalek, Hunwick, Holland, Carrick · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe, Eichel

  18. P1 15:11Hunwick: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Smith, Hyman, Rielly · BUF Gionta, Moulson, Bogosian, Kane, Pysyk

  19. P1 16:32Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks4v5
  20. P1 17:24Shot by Moulson, saved by Sparks
  21. P1 19:55Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  22. P1 19:58Colaiacovo: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Grabner, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk

  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Johnson5v4
  26. P2 1:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson5v4
  27. P2 4:17Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson
  28. P2 5:24Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks
  29. P2 5:46Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  30. P2 6:57Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 7:04Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 7:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Johnson
  33. P2 8:43Shot by McCabe, saved by Sparks
  34. P2 9:04Shot by Holland, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 7:49Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sparks
  36. P2 11:26Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 11:32Shot by Komarov, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 12:44Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Sparks
  39. P2 14:54Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 15:31Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks
  41. P2 15:33Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks
  42. P2 16:21Shot by Pysyk, saved by Sparks
  43. P2 16:23Goal by Pysyk (Kane, Reinhart)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander · BUF Kane, Pysyk, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  44. P2 17:52Shot by Gorges, saved by Sparks
  45. P2 18:04Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks
  46. P2 18:29Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks
  47. P2 19:39Shot by Grabner, saved by Johnson
  48. P2 19:41Goal by Hyman (Grabner, Smith)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Gardiner, Smith, Marincin, Hyman · BUF Bogosian, Kane, Deslauriers, Larsson, McCabe

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P2 19:40Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  51. P2 6:59Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:39Shot by Marincin, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 3:28Shot by McCabe, saved by Sparks
  55. P3 4:36Shot by Komarov, saved by Johnson
  56. P3 5:21Kadri: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Greening, Smith, Kadri, Rielly · BUF Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  57. P3 5:21Eichel: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Greening, Smith, Kadri, Rielly · BUF Bogosian, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  58. P3 6:37Shot by Holland, saved by Johnson4v4
  59. P3 7:28Goal by Eichel (Moulson, O'Reilly)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Corrado · BUF Gorges, Moulson, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Eichel

  60. P3 8:24Shot by Laich, saved by Johnson
  61. P3 8:58Shot by Michalek, saved by Johnson
  62. P3 9:49Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  63. P3 10:17Shot by Foligno, saved by Sparks
  64. P3 10:41Goal by Kane (Reinhart)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Kadri, Rielly, Soshnikov · BUF Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  65. P3 12:52Shot by Carrick, saved by Johnson
  66. P3 16:19Shot by Hunwick, saved by Johnson
  67. P3 17:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sparks
  68. P3 18:49Shot by Hyman, saved by Johnson
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. OT 0:00Period start
  71. OT 0:27Shot by Grabner, saved by Johnson3v3
  72. OT 0:41Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sparks3v3
  73. OT 2:02Kadri: Tripping (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TOR Grabner, Gardiner, Kadri · BUF Catenacci, McCabe, Eichel

  74. OT 0:42Shot by Larsson, saved by Sparks3v3
  75. OT 4:22Kadri: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Ristolainen

  76. OT 4:22Bogosian: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Ristolainen

  77. OT 4:22Kane: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Ristolainen

  78. OT 4:22Komarov: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Rielly · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Ristolainen

  79. OT 4:43Shot by Larsson, saved by Sparks3v3
  80. OT 4:59Shot by Gionta, saved by Sparks3v3
  81. OT 5:00Period end
  82. SO Period start
  83. SO Shot by Holland, saved by Johnsonother
  84. SO Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparksother
  85. SO Shot by Kadri, saved by Johnsonother
  86. SO Goal by Reinhart, unassistedother
  87. SO Period end
  88. SO Final