Mon, Mar 7, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.
63%
8%
21%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | Kane–Reinhart–Eichel | O'Reilly–Deslauriers–Girgensons | Legwand–Moulson–Catenacci | Moulson–Kane–Eichel | Kane–Larsson–Reinhart | Deslauriers–Larsson–Catenacci | Gorges–Ristolainen | Bogosian–McCabe | Colaiacovo–Pysyk | Colaiacovo–Ristolainen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Komarov–Kadri–Soshnikov | 0:330.00–0.45 | 5:420.43–0.08 | 0:510.13–0.00 | 4:340.51–0.11 | 3:410.09–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.41 | |||||
| Laich–Greening–Smith | 6:180.16–0.05 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 3:070.03–0.02 | 2:330.00–0.00 | 3:080.14–0.05 | ||||||
| Boyes–Michalek–Holland | 1:170.00–0.07 | 1:390.04–0.00 | 2:130.02–0.02 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 4:190.06–0.07 | 1:330.00–0.05 | |||||
| Grabner–Hyman–Nylander | 1:450.07–0.08 | 3:200.03–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 3:170.22–0.00 | 1:500.07–0.03 | 2:160.07–0.08 | |||||
| Komarov–Kadri–Hyman | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Grabner–Smith–Hyman | 0:400.00–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Hunwick–Rielly | 1:140.07–0.05 | 6:000.48–0.52 | 1:270.07–0.04 | 0:540.13–0.00 | 7:180.60–0.10 | 3:160.00–0.04 | 1:380.07–0.22 | 0:580.04–0.00 | |||
| Marincin–Carrick | 5:240.16–0.54 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 2:100.02–0.02 | 1:590.00–0.06 | 3:230.02–0.02 | 4:520.14–0.48 | |||||
| Gardiner–Corrado | 2:290.00–0.02 | 3:010.04–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 3:360.22–0.08 | 3:180.11–0.05 | 1:280.00–0.00 | ||||
| Gardiner–Marincin | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:230.70–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Hunwick–Marincin | 0:330.08–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 0:440.14–0.00 | 1:100.08–0.02 | |||||||
| Hunwick–Gardiner | 0:540.04–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.01 | 1:240.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gardiner–Rielly | 0:540.00–0.08 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.08 | ||||||||
| Gardiner–Carrick | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Marincin–Rielly | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 34 | 28:18 | 0:50 | 2:58 | 5 | 5 | |
| 32 | 27:09 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 4 | 2 | |
| 30 | 25:01 | 0:50 | 2:10 | 4 | 5 | |
| 31 | 24:19 | 0:47 | 2:11 | 4 | 0 | |
| 29 | 22:32 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 5 | 2 | |
| 25 | 22:26 | 0:54 | 2:04 | 1 | 6 | |
| 25 | 22:10 | 0:53 | 2:20 | 3 | 5 | |
| 27 | 21:59 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 1 | 4 | |
| 26 | 21:52 | 0:50 | 2:23 | 4 | 3 | |
| 28 | 20:35 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 1 | 5 | |
| 25 | 20:28 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 2 | 4 | |
| 28 | 20:02 | 0:43 | 1:55 | 4 | 0 | |
| 29 | 19:47 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 4 | 0 | |
| 25 | 19:16 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 0 | 3 | |
| 24 | 18:32 | 0:46 | 2:00 | 4 | 2 | |
| 21 | 17:25 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 4 | 2 | |
| 20 | 16:21 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 6 | 0 | |
| 25 | 16:12 | 0:39 | 1:28 | 6 | 0 | |
| 20 | 16:10 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 3 | 5 | |
| 23 | 15:43 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 0 | 3 | |
| 20 | 15:38 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 0 | 2 | |
| 27 | 15:06 | 0:34 | 1:08 | 2 | 7 | |
| 21 | 14:56 | 0:43 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 | |
| 18 | 14:20 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 3 | 0 | |
| 21 | 14:10 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 2 | 4 | |
| 18 | 14:04 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 3 | 1 | |
| 23 | 13:52 | 0:36 | 1:15 | 6 | 1 | |
| 18 | 13:37 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 2 | 3 | |
| 21 | 13:17 | 0:38 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 | |
| 16 | 12:43 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 3 | 0 | |
| 20 | 11:39 | 0:35 | 0:59 | 3 | 3 | |
| 16 | 11:33 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 | |
| 14 | 10:51 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 | |
| 14 | 8:56 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 3 | 1 | |
| 12 | 8:33 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 | |
| 12 | 8:04 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |