Mon, Mar 7, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.
63%
8%
21%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 28:18 | 0.16 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:26 | 0.07 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
 Evander KaneLW · #9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.12 | 26.6% | +48.3 |
 Zach BogosianD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:59 | 0.12 | 14.4% | 0.0 |
 Jack EichelC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:52 | 0.24 | 39.3% | +12.8 |
 Josh GorgesD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:35 | 0.01 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.04 | 26.3% | 0.0 |
 Brian GiontaRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:16 | 0.63 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:25 | 0.12 | 47.7% | +48.3 |
 Cal O'ReillyC · #19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 31.0% | +12.8 |
 Mark PysykD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.44 | 78.8% | +14.3 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.12 | 77.5% | 0.0 |
 Carlo ColaiacovoD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:56 | 0.02 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.03 | 9.5% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.02 | 11.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt MoulsonLW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:56 | 0.05 | 23.0% | +12.8 |
 David LegwandC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:33 | 0.00 | 7.6% | 0.0 |
 Daniel CatenacciC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:04 | 0.02 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Chad Johnson#31 | W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.46 | +0.5 | 64:34 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matt HunwickD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 27:09 | 0.05 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:01 | 0.01 | 66.8% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:19 | 0.21 | 57.1% | +13.8 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.03 | 78.7% | +13.5 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.28 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 19:47 | 0.46 | 51.5% | +13.8 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.26 | 86.2% | +14.3 |
 William NylanderRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.49 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:12 | 0.91 | 63.1% | +14.3 |
 Ben SmithRW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.03 | 86.9% | +14.3 |
 Peter HollandC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:20 | 0.12 | 56.4% | 0.0 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.07 | 23.2% | +13.5 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:52 | 0.21 | 55.8% | +13.8 |
 Colin GreeningC · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.11 | 76.2% | 0.0 |
 Milan MichalekLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.04 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 Brooks LaichC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.09 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.07 | 36.2% | +13.5 |
 Frank CorradoD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:51 | 0.00 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
 Garret Sparks#31 | O | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.21 | −0.8 | 65:00 |