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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 8, 2016·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Ottawa Senators 3, Carolina Hurricanes 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 59% of the time.

CAR winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Stone–PageauHoffman–Chiasson–ZibanejadGomez–Ryan–DzingelNeil–Paul–LazarStone–Paul–LazarGomez–Hoffman–ChiassonMethot–KarlssonPhaneuf–CeciKostka–WidemanKostka–KarlssonPhaneuf–WidemanPhaneuf–KarlssonMethot–WidemanKostka–CeciPhaneuf–Kostka
Skinner–Rask–Di Giuseppe4:380.25–0.091:210.49–0.203:390.22–0.011:120.00–0.014:090.16–0.204:100.27–0.110:430.57–0.001:000.00–0.011:210.00–0.04
Staal–Nordstrom–Lindholm3:260.10–0.601:390.00–0.001:540.00–0.301:450.06–0.100:500.05–0.003:480.12–0.101:490.00–0.182:080.00–0.201:190.08–0.070:590.00–0.00
Gerbe–Nash–Malone2:140.10–0.001:430.00–0.371:230.00–0.001:150.12–0.002:150.04–0.002:540.13–0.262:150.13–0.000:560.07–0.00
McClement–Terry–Woods1:040.03–0.200:590.06–0.20
McClement–Terry–Lindholm0:440.00–0.110:320.00–0.110:410.00–0.07
Gerbe–Terry–Nash0:370.00–0.00
Staal–Malone–Nordstrom0:500.00–0.080:520.00–0.08
Hainsey–Slavin10:110.44–0.691:110.00–0.001:340.02–0.001:580.05–0.081:080.08–0.004:520.44–0.005:560.16–0.171:560.02–0.170:480.00–0.451:020.08–0.071:350.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:480.00–0.04
Jordan–Murphy1:290.23–0.003:460.59–0.103:590.26–0.152:120.06–0.110:470.00–0.003:570.04–0.103:400.31–0.153:260.69–0.151:410.07–0.010:470.00–0.011:030.07–0.02
Pesce–Hanifin0:510.02–0.003:400.11–0.633:190.02–0.152:410.05–0.206:020.06–0.313:500.02–0.680:560.08–0.030:430.09–0.000:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndStaal FLindholm FNordstrom FDi Giuseppe FRask FSkinner FNash FGerbe FMalone FTerry FWoods FMcClement FHainsey DSlavin DHanifin DPesce DMurphy DJordan DWard GSmith FPageau FStone FHoffman FChiasson FZibanejad FRyan FGomez FDzingel FPaul FNeil FLazar FPhaneuf DCeci DMethot DKarlsson DKostka DWideman DHammond G
CAROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3230:530:582:0855
Jaccob SlavinCAR3026:190:531:4963
Dion PhaneufOTT3525:350:441:2627
Ron HainseyCAR3023:310:471:4953
Marc MethotOTT2923:090:481:2145
Jordan StaalCAR3123:040:451:1657
Mark StoneOTT2721:310:481:3516
Elias LindholmCAR2721:270:481:1344
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2821:200:461:3527
Cody CeciOTT2920:370:431:2624
Jeff SkinnerCAR2920:330:431:2362
Victor RaskCAR2620:310:471:2743
Zack SmithOTT2620:040:461:1806
Noah HanifinCAR2118:330:531:3631
Ryan MurphyCAR2518:210:441:2062
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR2518:190:441:1842
Brett PesceCAR2318:090:471:3611
Joakim NordstromCAR2418:070:451:0536
Mike HoffmanOTT2218:030:491:2442
Michal JordanCAR2518:020:431:2051
Riley NashCAR2116:110:461:1850
Mika ZibanejadOTT2615:480:361:0543
Nathan GerbeCAR2215:210:421:2950
Alex ChiassonOTT2214:560:411:2033
Brad MaloneCAR1914:180:451:2940
Scott GomezOTT1813:130:441:1231
Bobby RyanOTT2013:010:391:0611
Ryan DzingelOTT1812:470:431:2422
Curtis LazarOTT2112:220:351:1213
Chris WidemanOTT1712:100:431:2422
Michael KostkaOTT1712:090:431:0913
Nick PaulOTT1711:390:411:1812
Chris NeilOTT169:320:361:1812
Chris TerryCAR149:080:391:0700
Jay McClementCAR157:560:321:1520
Brendan WoodsCAR105:080:311:1120