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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 10, 2016·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Ottawa Senators 2, Florida Panthers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 57% of the time.

FLA winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:15Shot by Barkov, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:56Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 4:35Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 4:56Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  6. P1 5:35Shot by Hoffman, saved by Luongo
  7. P1 5:58Shot by Kindl, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 7:25Shot by Hoffman, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 9:30Shot by Thornton, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 10:04Shot by Chiasson, saved by Luongo
  11. P1 11:15Shot by Lazar, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 11:55Shot by Shaw, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 13:07Goal by Jagr (Huberdeau, Campbell)+18 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · OTT Karlsson, Wiercioch, Hoffman, Chiasson, Zibanejad

  14. P1 13:23Shot by Gomez, saved by Luongo
  15. P1 13:34Shot by Thornton, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 14:37Shot by Ekblad, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 14:29Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 15:51Shot by Ceci, saved by Luongo
  19. P1 16:44Shot by Lazar, saved by Luongo
  20. P1 19:37Goal by Smith (Ryan, Karlsson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · OTT Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Pageau

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:49Shot by Kulikov, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 2:20Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Anderson
  25. P2 2:25Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 2:48Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 3:33Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Luongo
  28. P2 3:49Karlsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · OTT Methot, Karlsson, Hoffman, Chiasson, Zibanejad

  29. P2 3:49Huberdeau: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · OTT Methot, Karlsson, Hoffman, Chiasson, Zibanejad

  30. P2 4:08Shot by Hoffman, saved by Luongo4v4
  31. P2 4:26Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Anderson4v4
  32. P2 4:53Shot by Ekblad, saved by Anderson4v4
  33. P2 5:52Goal by Jokinen (Gudbranson, Trocheck)+22 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Petrovic, Gudbranson, Trocheck, Huberdeau · OTT Phaneuf, Methot, Karlsson, Hoffman, Zibanejad

  34. P2 6:29Goal by Karlsson (Smith, Stone)+22 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Stone, Pageau

  35. P2 6:47Shot by Thornton, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 7:36Shot by Gomez, saved by Luongo
  37. P2 7:26Shot by Methot, saved by Luongo
  38. P2 8:54Shot by Pageau, saved by Luongo
  39. P2 9:32Goal by Ekblad (Trocheck, Jokinen)+23 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Kulikov, Smith, Trocheck, Ekblad · OTT Neil, Phaneuf, Puempel, Ceci, Lazar

  40. P2 9:43Shot by Barkov, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 9:46Goal by Huberdeau, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kindl, Petrovic, Huberdeau, Barkov · OTT Gomez, Methot, Ryan, Karlsson, Dzingel

  42. P2 9:44Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 10:40Huberdeau: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov · OTT Methot, Karlsson, Chiasson, Stone, Zibanejad

  44. P2 11:09Shot by Stone, saved by Luongo4v5
  45. P2 11:22Shot by Ryan, saved by Luongo4v5
  46. P2 13:24Shot by Jokinen, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 13:39Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Luongo
  48. P2 14:35Shot by Puempel, saved by Luongo
  49. P2 15:03Wilson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Kindl, Wilson, Petrovic · OTT Gomez, Methot, Ryan, Karlsson, Dzingel

  50. P2 17:20Shot by Hoffman, saved by Luongo
  51. P2 19:23Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 19:59Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:39Shot by Kindl, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 2:45Shot by Pageau, saved by Luongo
  57. P3 4:26Goal by Jagr (Trocheck)+4 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Jokinen, Kindl, Trocheck · OTT Ryan, Wiercioch, Zibanejad, Puempel, Ceci

  58. P3 4:40Shot by Puempel, saved by Luongo
  59. P3 5:25Shot by Ceci, saved by Luongo
  60. P3 5:05Shot by Kostka, saved by Luongo
  61. P3 5:45Karlsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · OTT Smith, Karlsson, Stone, Pageau, Ceci

  62. P3 7:37Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Anderson5v4
  63. P3 10:59Goal by Trocheck (Smith)+1 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Kulikov, Smith, Trocheck, Ekblad · OTT Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Stone, Pageau

  64. P3 12:36Shot by Ceci, saved by Luongo
  65. P3 13:34Shot by Barkov, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 13:48Shot by Gomez, saved by Luongo
  67. P3 14:28Shot by Ceci, saved by Luongo
  68. P3 15:01Hoffman: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Smith, Gudbranson, Trocheck · OTT Gomez, Phaneuf, Hoffman, Chiasson, Ceci

  69. P3 19:09Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Luongo
  70. P3 19:58Shot by Wilson, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final