Fri, Mar 11, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 64% of the time.
25%
11%
12%
52%
TBL winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.09 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.16 | 41.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 19:32 | 0.13 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.36 | 35.1% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.03 | 90.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.07 | 36.0% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:29 | 0.10 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.03 | 48.6% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.28 | 84.4% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:36 | 0.00 | 46.2% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 90.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.10 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.24 | 53.1% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:40 | 0.03 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.02 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.08 | 68.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 1.18 | +0.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:44 | 0.08 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:05 | 0.01 | 50.1% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.06 | 31.4% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.08 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.09 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.02 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.05 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.06 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.10 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.02 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.11 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.01 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.11 | 96.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:22 | 0.23 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:05 | 0.12 | 51.0% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.04 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.76 | −1.2 | 56:36 |