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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 12, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

New York Rangers 2, Detroit Red Wings 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 72% of the time.

DET winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Nash, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 4:17Shot by Moore, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 4:49Shot by Richards, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 4:54Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 4:55Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 5:40Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 6:34Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 9:14Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 10:37Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 11:50Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 12:24Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 12:26Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 12:27Larkin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · NYR Staal, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello

  15. P1 14:02Shot by Nash, saved by Mrazek4v5
  16. P1 14:40Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 12:34Shot by Yandle, saved by Mrazek4v5
  18. P1 15:18Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 17:30Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 17:40Shot by Richards, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 18:57Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 19:09Shot by Stepan, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 19:11Goal by Stepan (Kreider, Zuccarello)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · NYR Boyle, Staal, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello

  24. P1 19:10Shot by Kreider, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:21Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 0:37Stalberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Larkin · NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello

  29. P2 1:38Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  30. P2 2:36Nyquist: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Pulkkinen · NYR Glass, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan

  31. P2 3:39Shot by Boyle, saved by Mrazek4v5
  32. P2 3:49Hayes: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Quincey, Abdelkader, Glendening, DeKeyser · NYR Boyle, Staal, McDonagh, Kreider, Hayes

  33. P2 4:04Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  34. P2 5:38Shot by Stepan, saved by Mrazek5v4
  35. P2 7:00Shot by Lindberg, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 7:41Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 8:50Shot by Miller, saved by Mrazek
  38. P2 8:52Shot by Fast, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 10:03Shot by Richards, saved by Lundqvist
  40. P2 10:10Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lundqvist
  41. P2 11:33Shot by Kreider, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 11:46Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 12:21Zuccarello: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Green, Helm, Smith, Glendening · NYR Klein, Yandle, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello

  44. P2 12:21Smith: Elbowing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Richards, Green, Helm, Smith, Glendening · NYR Klein, Yandle, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello

  45. P2 12:48Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  46. P2 15:34Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 16:55Shot by Stepan, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 17:27Shot by Stepan, saved by Mrazek
  49. P2 18:16Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 19:37Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:57Shot by Miller, saved by Mrazek
  54. P3 2:35Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 3:08Shot by Quincey, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 4:28Goal by Helm (Glendening, DeKeyser)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser · NYR Boyle, Yandle, Zuccarello, Hayes, Miller

  57. P3 4:50Shot by Klein, saved by Mrazek
  58. P3 7:05Shot by Kreider, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 7:43Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 7:52Fast: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Ericsson, Green, Nyquist, Tatar · NYR Moore, Klein, Yandle, Fast, Miller

  61. P3 8:47Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  62. P3 9:41Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  63. P3 12:21Shot by Helm, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 12:21Shot by Glendening, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 13:42Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 13:54Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 14:10Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 14:18Abdelkader: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Smith, Larkin · NYR Nash, Staal, Staal, Girardi, Stalberg

  69. P3 15:33Goal by Kreider (Yandle, Zuccarello)4v5+38 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser · NYR Yandle, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Miller

  70. P3 15:47Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 17:55Staal: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Smith, Tatar, Larkin · NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Stalberg, McDonagh

  72. P3 18:03Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lundqvist6v4
  73. P3 19:28Goal by Richards (Abdelkader, Zetterberg)6v4+44 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Sheahan, Pulkkinen · NYR Klein, Staal, Stalberg, Stepan

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. OT 0:00Period start
  76. OT 0:12Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  77. OT 0:22Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  78. OT 0:57Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek3v3
  79. OT 1:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  80. OT 1:40Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  81. OT 1:52Shot by Stalberg, saved by Mrazek3v3
  82. OT 2:23Shot by Fast, saved by Mrazek3v3
  83. OT 2:47Shot by Stepan, saved by Mrazek3v3
  84. OT 3:03Goal by Helm (Datsyuk, DeKeyser)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Helm, DeKeyser · NYR Yandle, Hayes, Miller

  85. OT 3:03Period end
  86. OT 3:03Final