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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 15, 2016·Verizon Center, Washington

Carolina Hurricanes 1, Washington Capitals 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 82% of the time.

WSH winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Nordstrom–LindholmSkinner–Rask–Di GiuseppeGerbe–Terry–NashMcClement–Malone–SutterSlavin–PesceJordan–CarrickMurphy–HanifinPesce–HanifinJordan–PesceJordan–Slavin
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Beagle5:510.13–0.043:310.21–0.051:490.18–0.000:360.03–0.049:150.23–0.081:140.03–0.001:270.12–0.000:560.09–0.00
Oshie–Kuznetsov–Burakovsky3:050.20–0.006:080.10–0.061:030.00–0.110:590.11–0.012:210.05–0.005:240.10–0.204:290.20–0.000:380.03–0.00
Chimera–Williams–Johansson2:100.33–0.030:330.00–0.105:170.41–0.043:120.08–0.022:160.00–0.034:030.71–0.124:550.10–0.020:410.20–0.02
Richards–Winnik–Wilson1:180.00–0.000:580.00–0.000:510.00–0.004:200.06–0.071:140.00–0.003:190.06–0.003:250.00–0.26
Niskanen–Alzner11:410.63–0.053:490.03–0.041:150.15–0.001:120.15–0.009:050.26–0.046:080.45–0.043:550.12–0.020:370.03–0.00
Orpik–Orlov0:310.00–0.025:370.30–0.125:500.43–0.152:110.12–0.004:350.00–0.035:040.37–0.275:340.39–0.190:340.09–0.02
Chorney–Schmidt2:150.04–0.152:180.09–0.025:090.07–0.071:140.03–0.003:280.09–0.125:010.08–0.070:350.00–0.00
Orlov–Schmidt0:490.20–0.00
Niskanen–Schmidt0:370.00–0.030:470.00–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndOvechkin FBackstrom FBeagle FBurakovsky FOshie FKuznetsov FWilliams FChimera FJohansson FRichards FWinnik FWilson FNiskanen DAlzner DOrlov DOrpik DChorney DSchmidt DHoltby GStaal FLindholm FNordstrom FDi Giuseppe FRask FSkinner FGerbe FNash FTerry FMcClement FMalone FSutter FPesce DSlavin DHanifin DMurphy DCarrick DJordan DLack G
WSHCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt NiskanenWSH2925:270:531:3944
Karl AlznerWSH2723:030:511:3945
Jaccob SlavinCAR2722:500:512:0945
Brett PesceCAR2722:320:502:0924
Dmitry OrlovWSH2821:340:461:4443
Noah HanifinCAR2420:460:522:5621
Brooks OrpikWSH2619:390:451:4432
Ryan MurphyCAR2318:550:491:4131
Jordan StaalCAR2918:510:391:2523
Michal JordanCAR2518:430:451:2703
Elias LindholmCAR2718:310:411:1533
Alex OvechkinWSH2018:210:552:5712
Jay BeagleWSH2218:100:501:4012
Joakim NordstromCAR2517:400:421:3823
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1917:160:551:2233
Nicklas BackstromWSH2217:030:471:5414
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR2116:470:481:3026
Trevor CarrickCAR2216:340:451:2712
Victor RaskCAR2216:280:451:2216
Jeff SkinnerCAR2116:070:461:3026
T.J. OshieWSH1915:500:501:2843
Marcus JohanssonWSH1815:410:521:2740
Justin WilliamsWSH1715:390:551:3630
Nate SchmidtWSH1815:270:521:2531
Riley NashCAR1715:230:542:3132
Nathan GerbeCAR1814:550:501:4142
Andre BurakovskyWSH1714:540:531:0942
Jason ChimeraWSH1714:450:521:1741
Taylor ChorneyWSH1914:200:451:4031
Jay McClementCAR1913:350:431:3112
Brad MaloneCAR1713:030:461:2031
Mike RichardsWSH1411:300:491:2513
Tom WilsonWSH1411:200:491:0912
Chris TerryCAR1411:090:481:2822
Daniel WinnikWSH1511:000:441:0721
Brody SutterCAR1510:160:411:2021