Thu, Mar 17, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Florida Panthers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 89% of the time.
85%
TOR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 23:22 | 0.09 | 64.8% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 22:15 | 0.04 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.16 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.27 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:21 | 1.05 | 58.0% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.14 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.02 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.01 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:37 | 0.78 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.14 | 63.3% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.05 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.85 | 47.1% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.28 | 56.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.04 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.06 | 45.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:35 | 0.16 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 8:49 | 0.06 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:44 | 0.03 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 1.67 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 28:24 | 0.11 | 54.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 24:25 | 0.04 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.16 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:34 | 0.21 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:31 | 0.21 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.06 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:08 | 0.23 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.03 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.02 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.02 | 56.1% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.12 | 49.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:17 | 0.22 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.15 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.02 | 9.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.02 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.04 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.43 | +0.4 | 57:25 |