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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 21, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Calgary Flames

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:35Shot by Brown, saved by Hiller
  3. P1 3:07Shot by Nylander, saved by Hiller
  4. P1 3:55Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 4:14Shot by Greening, saved by Hiller
  6. P1 4:23Shot by Smith, saved by Hiller
  7. P1 5:43Bennett: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Hyman, Corrado, Valiev, Nylander · CGY Colborne, Brodie, Ferland, Jokipakka, Bennett

  8. P1 8:00Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 10:01Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hiller
  10. P1 11:27Goal by Parenteau (Nylander)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Hyman, Corrado, Valiev, Nylander · CGY Colborne, Brodie, Ferland, Jokipakka, Bennett

  11. P1 15:12Shot by Kadri, saved by Hiller
  12. P1 15:26Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 0:00Period end
  14. P2 0:00Period start
  15. P2 0:25Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bernier
  16. P2 2:22Parenteau: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Hyman, Corrado, Rielly, Nylander · CGY Stajan, Brodie, Bollig, Jokipakka, Gaudreau, Hathaway

  17. P2 2:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Hiller4v5
  18. P2 2:54Shot by Colborne, saved by Bernier4v5
  19. P2 3:17Rielly: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Smith, Marincin, Hyman, Rielly · CGY Giordano, Colborne, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan

  20. P2 3:30Shot by Colborne, saved by Bernier3v5
  21. P2 4:03Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bernier3v5
  22. P2 5:04Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bernier4v5
  23. P2 5:06Shot by Colborne, saved by Bernier4v5
  24. P2 5:15Shot by Colborne, saved by Bernier4v5
  25. P2 5:45Shot by Stajan, saved by Bernier
  26. P2 6:15Shot by Nylander, saved by Hiller
  27. P2 6:22Frolik: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Hyman, Corrado, Valiev, Nylander · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Bouma, Brodie, Jokipakka

  28. P2 6:31Shot by Greening, saved by Hiller5v4
  29. P2 6:31Shot by Greening, saved by Hiller5v4
  30. P2 8:51Shot by Leivo, saved by Hiller
  31. P2 9:39Jooris: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly · CGY Gaudreau, Wotherspoon, Monahan, Jooris, Nakladal

  32. P2 10:25Goal by Stajan (Hathaway)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Greening, Kadri, Rielly, Brown · CGY Stajan, Jokipakka, Wotherspoon, Hathaway

  33. P2 12:21Shot by Giordano, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 13:51Shot by Hathaway, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 14:21Shot by Carrick, saved by Hiller
  36. P2 14:26Goal by Hyman (Nylander, Gardiner)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Bouma, Wotherspoon, Nakladal

  37. P2 14:54Shot by Giordano, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 14:54Gaudreau: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan, Jooris

  39. P2 14:54Jooris: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan, Jooris

  40. P2 14:54Kadri: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Michalek, Grabner, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly · CGY Giordano, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan, Jooris

  41. P2 16:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Hiller5v4
  42. P2 17:32Goal by Colborne (Giordano, Hamilton)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Smith, Marincin, Hyman, Rielly, Gauthier · CGY Giordano, Colborne, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Bennett

  43. P2 17:47Shot by Nakladal, saved by Bernier
  44. P2 18:59Shot by Ferland, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:29Goal by Nylander (Gardiner)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · CGY Ferland, Gaudreau, Wotherspoon, Bennett, Nakladal

  48. P3 1:08Shot by Bollig, saved by Bernier
  49. P3 1:19Shot by Bollig, saved by Bernier
  50. P3 3:26Shot by Hyman, saved by Hiller
  51. P3 4:07Shot by Grabner, saved by Hiller
  52. P3 4:23Shot by Rielly, saved by Hiller
  53. P3 4:25Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 5:09Shot by Leivo, saved by Hiller
  55. P3 5:19Shot by Monahan, saved by Bernier
  56. P3 7:05Jokipakka: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Gardiner, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander · CGY Frolik, Backlund, Bouma, Brodie, Jokipakka

  57. P3 9:14Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 10:07Shot by Valiev, saved by Hiller
  59. P3 11:25Bollig: Elbowing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Michalek, Greening, Kadri, Corrado, Valiev · CGY Stajan, Frolik, Brodie, Bollig, Jokipakka

  60. P3 12:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Hiller5v4
  61. P3 13:53Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hiller
  62. P3 15:28Shot by Giordano, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 15:35Shot by Grabner, saved by Hiller
  64. P3 16:06Shot by Ferland, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 18:39Goal by Greening (Smith, Laich)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Laich, Greening, Smith, Marincin, Rielly · CGY Giordano, Backlund, Colborne, Brodie, Ferland, Monahan

  66. P3 19:33Goal by Leivo (Brown)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Leivo, Rielly, Brown, Gauthier · CGY Colborne, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Monahan, Bennett, Nakladal

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final