Mon, Mar 21, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
68%
8%
17%
TOR winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.04 | 74.7% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:02 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.04 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.02 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:55 | 0.06 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.02 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.06 | 76.7% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:26 | 0.08 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 15:57 | 0.29 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.05 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.05 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:26 | 0.06 | 39.3% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.04 | 54.6% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 12:47 | 0.97 | 61.6% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:30 | 0.33 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:26 | 0.04 | 57.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 59:09 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:22 | 0.23 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 24:15 | 0.06 | 61.7% | +52.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:16 | 0.01 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.15 | 86.2% | +17.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 18:12 | 0.50 | 81.3% | +69.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.04 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:22 | 0.94 | 35.9% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 42.6% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.21 | 73.7% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.25 | 42.7% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.02 | 48.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.01 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.83 | 58.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.23 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.01 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.04 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.07 | 48.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.15 | +0.2 | 59:31 |