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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 21, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Calgary Flames 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsCGY wins

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mark GiordanoD · #50110322:400.0474.7%+26.2
TJ BrodieD · #7000−2022:020.0041.1%0.0
Jyrki JokipakkaD · #30000119:560.0439.5%0.0
Jakub NakladalD · #33000−3119:180.0228.2%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #11000−2018:550.0644.1%0.0
Tyler WotherspoonD · #26000−1018:430.0224.7%0.0
Dougie HamiltonD · #270110117:300.0676.7%+26.2
Sean MonahanC · #23000−2317:260.0847.2%0.0
Johnny GaudreauLW · #13000−2415:570.2948.3%0.0
Michael FrolikRW · #67000−1015:550.0526.0%0.0
Lance BoumaLW · #17000−1015:200.0529.8%0.0
Matt StajanC · #18101+1214:260.0639.3%+23.1
Garnet HathawayRW · #64011+1113:130.0454.6%+23.1
Josh JoorisRW · #160000012:570.0044.3%0.0
Joe ColborneC · #8101−2512:470.9761.6%+26.2
Micheal FerlandLW · #79000−2211:300.3361.6%0.0
Sam BennettC · #93000−2010:500.0037.5%0.0
Brandon BolligLW · #52000029:260.0457.9%0.0
Jonas Hiller#1L24213.8752.24−0.859:09

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #440000324:220.2342.6%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #51022+2024:150.0661.7%+52.4
Martin MarincinD · #52000+1021:160.0138.4%0.0
PA ParenteauRW · #15101+3118:230.1586.2%+17.0
William NylanderRW · #39123+3418:120.5081.3%+69.4
Nazem KadriC · #43000−1117:430.0443.9%0.0
Colin GreeningC · #381010417:220.9435.9%+4.6
Brooks LaichC · #23011+1017:080.0042.6%+4.6
Milan MichalekLW · #18000−1016:500.0044.4%0.0
Zach HymanLW · #11101+2215:430.2173.7%+24.8
Ben SmithRW · #260110115:140.2542.7%+4.6
Connor BrownRW · #160110114:130.0248.3%+0.1
Connor CarrickD · #8000+2114:000.0164.9%0.0
Josh LeivoLW · #32101+1313:480.8358.6%+0.1
Michael GrabnerLW · #400000212:490.2347.3%0.0
Frank CorradoD · #20000+1012:100.0168.8%0.0
Rinat ValievD · #29000+1111:550.0473.6%0.0
Frederik GauthierC · #540000211:060.0748.3%0.0
Jonathan Bernier#45W25232.9202.15+0.259:31