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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 22, 2016·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:37Shot by Nash, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 2:48Shot by Lindholm, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 3:55Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 5:43Shot by Gionta, saved by Ward
  6. P1 6:25Shot by McClement, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 10:55Shot by Pesce, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 12:01Shot by Gorges, saved by Ward
  9. P1 12:22Goal by Colaiacovo (Pysyk, Foligno)+21 pts WP

    On ice: CAR McClement, Gerbe, Malone, Jordan, Murphy · BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk

  10. P1 14:00Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Ward
  11. P1 14:31Shot by Bogosian, saved by Ward
  12. P1 16:51Shot by Gerbe, saved by Johnson
  13. P1 17:37Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Ward
  14. P1 17:50Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  15. P1 18:30Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 18:44Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  17. P1 19:51Shot by Larsson, saved by Ward
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:49Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  21. P2 1:13Shot by Pesce, saved by Johnson
  22. P2 3:19Shot by Moulson, saved by Ward
  23. P2 3:44Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward
  24. P2 5:09Shot by Pesce, saved by Johnson
  25. P2 5:13Pysyk: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Pesce, Hanifin · BUF Colaiacovo, O'Reilly, Kane, Deslauriers, Pysyk

  26. P2 5:23Shot by Legwand, saved by Ward5v4
  27. P2 5:33Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Ward5v4
  28. P2 5:43Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson5v4
  29. P2 6:51Bogosian: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CAR Terry, Skinner, Slavin, Pesce, Ryan · BUF Legwand, Bogosian, Kane, McCabe

  30. P2 7:06Staal: Tripping (2 min)5v3

    On ice: CAR Staal, Nash, Skinner, Rask, Lindholm · BUF Legwand, Gorges, Ristolainen

  31. P2 8:11Slavin: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Slavin · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen

  32. P2 10:18Shot by Larsson, saved by Ward
  33. P2 10:36Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 10:43Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 12:10Goal by Terry (Hanifin, Nash)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Terry, Nash, Pesce, Hanifin, Ryan · BUF Colaiacovo, Pysyk, Girgensons, Reinhart, Eichel

  36. P2 13:31Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ward
  37. P2 15:27Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 15:49Shot by Girgensons, saved by Ward
  39. P2 16:31Shot by Slavin, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 18:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Johnson
  41. P2 18:33Skinner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  42. P2 18:33Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  43. P2 18:33Skinner: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  44. P2 18:33Larsson: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  45. P2 18:33Skinner: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Slavin · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  46. P2 19:33Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  47. P2 19:48Shot by Terry, saved by Johnson
  48. P2 19:53Shot by Nash, saved by Johnson
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:48Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  52. P3 2:39Shot by Kane, saved by Ward
  53. P3 2:58Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  54. P3 4:31Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward
  55. P3 5:13Shot by Hainsey, saved by Johnson
  56. P3 5:20Shot by Slavin, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 6:57Shot by Jordan, saved by Johnson
  58. P3 8:34Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Ward
  59. P3 9:36Malone: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gerbe, Malone, Jordan, Murphy, Ryan · BUF Legwand, Gorges, Moulson, O'Reilly, Ristolainen

  60. P3 9:36Malone: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Gerbe, Malone, Jordan, Murphy, Ryan · BUF Legwand, Gorges, Moulson, O'Reilly, Ristolainen

  61. P3 9:52Shot by Reinhart, saved by Ward4v5
  62. P3 11:39Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Ward4v5
  63. P3 13:40Goal by Nordstrom (Staal)+33 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Malone, Jordan, Nordstrom, Pesce · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  64. P3 14:06Shot by Terry, saved by Johnson
  65. P3 15:02Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Ward
  66. P3 16:11Goal by Kane (O'Reilly, Reinhart)+40 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nordstrom, Slavin, Lindholm · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  67. P3 17:11Goal by Larsson (Gionta)+42 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Jordan, Skinner, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Hanifin · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  68. P3 17:46Shot by Terry, saved by Johnson
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final