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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 22, 2016·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Carolina Hurricanes 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gionta–Foligno–LarssonO'Reilly–Kane–DeslauriersGirgensons–Reinhart–EichelLegwand–Moulson–O'ReillyGionta–O'Reilly–KaneMoulson–O'Reilly–KaneO'Reilly–O'Reilly–KaneO'Reilly–Kane–EichelBogosian–McCabeGorges–RistolainenColaiacovo–PysykPysyk–McCabe
Staal–Nordstrom–Lindholm0:550.04–0.003:100.08–0.013:120.11–0.171:160.03–0.001:030.00–0.121:090.01–0.001:160.03–0.140:590.00–0.0010:550.53–0.391:420.00–0.411:010.00–0.001:150.03–0.00
Terry–Nash–Ryan4:530.15–0.031:050.00–0.000:300.09–0.001:400.07–0.003:220.19–0.033:580.46–0.03
Skinner–Rask–Di Giuseppe1:190.00–0.112:440.15–0.472:140.21–0.002:010.00–0.574:540.36–0.050:400.02–0.00
McClement–Gerbe–Malone1:090.00–0.022:290.15–0.000:540.00–0.001:450.02–0.001:580.13–0.03
Gerbe–Rask–Di Giuseppe1:410.01–0.091:280.01–0.000:450.00–0.00
Skinner–Di Giuseppe–Ryan0:330.01–0.000:510.10–0.00
Hainsey–Slavin2:060.05–0.002:290.08–0.054:500.40–0.032:140.30–0.000:390.00–0.000:460.03–0.007:260.27–0.085:140.50–0.322:460.26–0.000:500.03–0.00
Jordan–Murphy7:380.20–0.051:300.00–0.061:270.00–0.004:430.11–0.235:250.04–0.124:260.25–0.06
Pesce–Hanifin0:590.06–0.003:550.15–0.713:480.11–0.230:590.00–0.001:170.01–0.000:440.00–0.096:040.27–0.924:560.20–0.141:540.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FLindholm FNordstrom FDi Giuseppe FSkinner FRask FNash FTerry FRyan FGerbe FMcClement FMalone FHainsey DSlavin DHanifin DPesce DMurphy DJordan DWard GEichel FReinhart FGirgensons FO'Reilly FKane FDeslauriers FGionta FLarsson FFoligno FMoulson FLegwand FO'Reilly FGorges DRistolainen DMcCabe DBogosian DPysyk DColaiacovo DJohnson G
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach BogosianBUF3225:460:481:2805
Ron HainseyCAR3025:100:502:4948
Jake McCabeBUF3123:440:461:2804
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3823:250:371:3495
Jaccob SlavinCAR3322:370:411:1158
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2722:180:502:1576
Jordan StaalCAR3021:430:431:4375
Joakim NordstromCAR2821:370:461:3755
Evander KaneBUF2721:350:481:4135
Elias LindholmCAR2921:090:441:3284
Josh GorgesBUF3720:120:331:08115
Brett PesceCAR2819:110:411:2813
Brian GiontaBUF2318:330:481:4223
Noah HanifinCAR2418:290:461:3722
Jack EichelBUF2418:220:461:2051
Sam ReinhartBUF2217:150:471:2071
Michal JordanCAR2016:580:511:3402
Ryan MurphyCAR2016:210:491:5822
Victor RaskCAR2315:450:411:1446
Phillip Di GiuseppeCAR2014:540:451:4533
Mark PysykBUF2314:280:380:5921
Jeff SkinnerCAR2114:240:411:2345
Johan LarssonBUF1913:570:441:0924
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1813:320:451:1244
Riley NashCAR2013:290:401:1953
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2013:250:401:0161
Derek RyanCAR1913:180:421:1633
Marcus FolignoBUF2013:030:391:0924
Chris TerryCAR1812:330:421:0921
Carlo ColaiacovoBUF1810:380:350:5321
Jay McClementCAR1410:230:451:3402
Matt MoulsonBUF149:580:430:5300
Nathan GerbeCAR159:280:381:0511
David LegwandBUF138:460:400:5312
Cal O'ReillyBUF107:030:421:1701
Brad MaloneCAR136:440:310:5411