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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 23, 2016·Madison Square Garden, New York

Boston Bruins 2, New York Rangers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.

NYR winsBOS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Shot by Chara, saved by Lundqvist
  3. P1 1:46Shot by Beleskey, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:47Shot by Stepan, saved by Rask
  5. P1 3:53Bergeron: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello, Miller · BOS Bergeron, Stempniak, McQuaid, Marchand, Krug

  6. P1 5:05Shot by Nash, saved by Rask5v4
  7. P1 6:35Glass: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Glass, Staal, Girardi, Stalberg · BOS Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Miller, Krug

  8. P1 6:35Beleskey: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Moore, Glass, Staal, Girardi, Stalberg · BOS Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Miller, Krug

  9. P1 7:00Hayes: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Moore, Staal, Staal, Stalberg · BOS Liles, Seidenberg, Hayes, Spooner, Vatrano

  10. P1 7:53Shot by Brassard, saved by Rask5v4
  11. P1 7:58Shot by Kreider, saved by Rask5v4
  12. P1 8:37Goal by Zuccarello (Yandle, Stepan)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Brassard, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · BOS Chara, Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand

  13. P1 9:54Shot by Staal, saved by Rask
  14. P1 11:23Krejci: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Yandle, Girardi, Kreider, Hayes · BOS Eriksson, Krejci, McQuaid, Krug, Pastrnak

  15. P1 11:39Goal by Stepan (Yandle, Lundqvist)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Brassard, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · BOS Chara, Bergeron, McQuaid, Marchand

  16. P1 12:25Shot by Ferraro, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 13:13Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 14:36Shot by Klein, saved by Rask
  19. P1 16:40Shot by Chara, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 18:15Shot by McQuaid, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 18:32Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 18:47Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 19:59Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lundqvist
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:23Shot by Marchand, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P2 1:29Shot by Kreider, saved by Gustavsson
  28. P2 1:39Shot by Hayes, saved by Gustavsson
  29. P2 2:03Hayes: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Staal, Staal, Kreider, Hayes · BOS McQuaid, Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Krug

  30. P2 2:15Shot by Stepan, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  31. P2 3:21Shot by Krejci, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  32. P2 3:35Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  33. P2 3:48Shot by Staal, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  34. P2 5:26Goal by Brassard (Klein, Fast)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Brassard, McDonagh, Fast · BOS Stempniak, Krejci, McQuaid, Marchand, Krug

  35. P2 6:43Shot by Vatrano, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 8:54Shot by Ferraro, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 9:34Goal by Stempniak (Marchand, Bergeron)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello, Miller · BOS Liles, Bergeron, Stempniak, Marchand, Krug

  38. P2 10:01Chara: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Yandle, Girardi, Brassard, Fast · BOS Chara, Eriksson, Krejci, Miller, Pastrnak

  39. P2 11:05Shot by Liles, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  40. P2 12:08Shot by Boyle, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  41. P2 12:55Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 12:55Zuccarello: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Brassard, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · BOS Seidenberg, Bergeron, Krejci, McQuaid, Marchand

  43. P2 15:01Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 15:16Shot by Vatrano, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 15:43Shot by Hayes, saved by Lundqvist5v6
  46. P2 15:47Boyle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Moore, Glass, Staal, Stalberg · BOS Chara, Bergeron, Hayes, Miller, Vatrano, Acciari

  47. P2 16:34Shot by Krug, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  48. P2 16:39Shot by Spooner, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  49. P2 16:50Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  50. P2 17:09Shot by Liles, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  51. P2 17:35Shot by Stalberg, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  52. P2 17:37Shot by Stalberg, saved by Gustavsson4v5
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:59Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 1:49Shot by Moore, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 3:34Shot by Marchand, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 3:35Shot by Stempniak, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 4:02Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 6:32Goal by Miller (Stepan, Zuccarello)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello, Miller · BOS Liles, Bergeron, Hayes, Ferraro, Miller

  61. P3 7:54Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 10:09Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P3 10:15Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 10:26Shot by Liles, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 10:49Shot by Hayes, saved by Gustavsson
  66. P3 10:59Shot by Beleskey, saved by Lundqvist
  67. P3 12:06Goal by Vatrano (Eriksson, Chara)+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Yandle, Girardi, Kreider, Hayes · BOS Chara, Eriksson, Hayes, Miller, Vatrano

  68. P3 12:35Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 14:14Shot by Krejci, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 15:26Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 15:56Shot by Stempniak, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 16:59Shot by Bergeron, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 17:07Goal by Nash, unassisted5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Brassard, McDonagh, Fast · BOS Eriksson, Bergeron, Krejci, Marchand, Beleskey, Krug

  74. P3 17:14Shot by Staal, saved by Gustavsson
  75. P3 17:35Shot by Hayes, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 17:43Shot by Ferraro, saved by Lundqvist
  77. P3 18:38Shot by Kreider, saved by Gustavsson
  78. P3 18:42Shot by Boyle, saved by Gustavsson
  79. P3 19:11Shot by Hayes, saved by Lundqvist
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final