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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 29, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal

Detroit Red Wings 3, Montréal Canadiens 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 75% of the time.

MTL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:04Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Condon
  3. P1 4:50Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 7:30Shot by Helm, saved by Condon
  5. P1 7:44Shot by Danault, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 7:48Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 8:23Goal by Pacioretty (Hanley, Andrighetto)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Pacioretty, Dietz, Galchenyuk, Andrighetto, Hanley · DET Ericsson, Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, Mantha

  8. P1 9:12Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Condon
  9. P1 9:33Shot by Plekanec, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 11:23Shot by Emelin, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 11:25Goal by Byron (Emelin, Galchenyuk)+14 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Byron, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin

  12. P1 12:06Kronwall: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Mitchell, Eller, Pateryn, Beaulieu · DET Richards, Kronwall, Helm, Marchenko, Glendening

  13. P1 12:45Shot by Ericsson, saved by Condon5v4
  14. P1 13:37Shot by Sheahan, saved by Condon5v4
  15. P1 14:22DeKeyser: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Emelin, Desharnais, Eller, Pateryn, Andrighetto · DET Kronwall, Quincey, Abdelkader, Glendening, DeKeyser

  16. P1 14:37Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Howard5v4
  17. P1 15:02Shot by Quincey, saved by Condon5v4
  18. P1 15:25Shot by Helm, saved by Condon5v4
  19. P1 16:40Shot by Larkin, saved by Condon
  20. P1 18:07Mantha: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Emelin, Mitchell, Eller · DET Richards, Kronwall, Marchenko, Athanasiou, Mantha

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:09Shot by Plekanec, saved by Howard
  24. P2 0:11Shot by Plekanec, saved by Howard
  25. P2 1:23Shot by Sheahan, saved by Condon
  26. P2 3:22Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  27. P2 3:57Shot by Eller, saved by Howard
  28. P2 5:09Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Howard
  29. P2 5:20Shot by Hanley, saved by Howard
  30. P2 6:02Shot by Hanley, saved by Howard
  31. P2 6:16Shot by de la Rose, saved by Howard
  32. P2 8:44Emelin: Interference (5 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Mitchell, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Quincey, Abdelkader, Larkin

  33. P2 8:44Emelin: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Mitchell, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Quincey, Abdelkader, Larkin

  34. P2 8:44Abdelkader: Instigator (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Mitchell, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Quincey, Abdelkader, Larkin

  35. P2 8:44Abdelkader: Fighting (5 min)4v4

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Mitchell, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Quincey, Abdelkader, Larkin

  36. P2 8:44Abdelkader: Misconduct (10 min)4v4

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Mitchell, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Quincey, Abdelkader, Larkin

  37. P2 9:50Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Condon4v4
  38. P2 10:14Shot by Nyquist, saved by Condon4v4
  39. P2 11:00Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Condon4v5
  40. P2 12:33Goal by Nyquist (Kronwall, Sheahan)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Byron, Eller, Hanley · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Sheahan, Larkin

  41. P2 12:50Shot by Richards, saved by Condon4v5
  42. P2 13:10Shot by Richards, saved by Condon4v5
  43. P2 13:11Shot by Richards, saved by Condon4v5
  44. P2 13:17Goal by Mantha (Datsyuk)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Pateryn, Beaulieu, Danault · DET Richards, Datsyuk, Green, Tatar, Mantha

  45. P2 13:47Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Condon
  46. P2 14:18Brown: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Brown, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Galchenyuk, Hanley · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin

  47. P2 14:18Brown: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: MTL Brown, Pacioretty, Pateryn, Galchenyuk, Hanley · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Glendening, DeKeyser, Larkin

  48. P2 16:20Goal by Green (Datsyuk, Tatar)4v5+30 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Byron, Beaulieu, Hanley · DET Richards, Datsyuk, Green, Tatar, Mantha

  49. P2 17:05Shot by Markov, saved by Howard
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:24Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Condon
  53. P3 1:23Shot by Nyquist, saved by Condon
  54. P3 2:11Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Howard
  55. P3 2:56Shot by McCarron, saved by Howard
  56. P3 3:02Shot by Byron, saved by Howard
  57. P3 3:13Shot by Larkin, saved by Condon
  58. P3 3:18Shot by Larkin, saved by Condon
  59. P3 3:36Shot by Mitchell, saved by Howard
  60. P3 4:29Shot by Ericsson, saved by Condon
  61. P3 4:31Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Condon
  62. P3 6:23Glendening: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Brown, Pateryn, Beaulieu, de la Rose · DET Kronwall, Helm, Marchenko, Glendening, Larkin

  63. P3 6:28Shot by Markov, saved by Howard5v4
  64. P3 6:34Goal by Andrighetto (Plekanec, Markov)5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk, Andrighetto · DET Quincey, Helm, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  65. P3 7:04Shot by Kronwall, saved by Condon
  66. P3 7:06Shot by Marchenko, saved by Condon
  67. P3 7:34Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Condon
  68. P3 8:59Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Condon
  69. P3 9:10Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Condon
  70. P3 10:38Shot by Danault, saved by Howard
  71. P3 10:57Shot by Mantha, saved by Condon
  72. P3 11:18Goal by Pacioretty (Galchenyuk, Byron)+35 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Byron, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Helm, Marchenko, Mantha

  73. P3 12:14Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Condon
  74. P3 12:38Shot by Green, saved by Condon
  75. P3 12:50Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Condon
  76. P3 13:46Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Condon
  77. P3 14:23Shot by Byron, saved by Howard
  78. P3 15:18Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Howard
  79. P3 15:46Shot by Tatar, saved by Condon
  80. P3 16:06Shot by Kronwall, saved by Condon
  81. P3 17:02Shot by Mantha, saved by Condon
  82. P3 17:25Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Condon
  83. P3 18:10Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Condon5v6
  84. P3 18:11Shot by Nyquist, saved by Condon5v6
  85. P3 19:20Abdelkader: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Byron, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Richards, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist

  86. P3 19:20Markov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Emelin, Byron, Pacioretty, Galchenyuk · DET Richards, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist

  87. P3 19:33Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Condon4v5
  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. P3 0:00Final