Tue, Mar 29, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal
Detroit Red Wings 3, Montréal Canadiens 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 75% of the time.
19%
67%
MTL winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:57 | 0.04 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.03 | 55.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.08 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.06 | 63.3% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.24 | 54.9% | +52.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:08 | 0.70 | 71.4% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 18:59 | 0.25 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.02 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.23 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.04 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:18 | 0.94 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.10 | 45.4% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.15 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.36 | 29.7% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.09 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 11:34 | 0.50 | 55.3% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 9:34 | 0.18 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
| – | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 0.69 | −1.3 | 11:25 | |
| L | 20 | 18 | 2 | .900 | 1.77 | −0.2 | 46:29 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 29:36 | 0.06 | 62.5% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.01 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:49 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:20 | 0.11 | 65.0% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.29 | 62.3% | +33.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.10 | 68.9% | +48.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 18:56 | 0.70 | 70.5% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.07 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:40 | 0.24 | 51.1% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.27 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.36 | 54.5% | +48.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:45 | 0.11 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:55 | 0.03 | 52.3% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.02 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:26 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:06 | 0.05 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:59 | 0.02 | 34.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 42 | 39 | 3 | .929 | 4.01 | +1.0 | 59:56 |