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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 2, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 57% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Grabner, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  4. P1 3:06Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Sparks
  5. P1 6:16Shot by Grabner, saved by Howard
  6. P1 7:26Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
  7. P1 7:33Gardiner: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laich, Gardiner, Froese, Corrado, Gauthier · DET Ericsson, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan

  8. P1 8:03Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Sparks4v5
  9. P1 8:48Goal by Richards (Green, Datsyuk)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Laich, Froese, Marincin, Rielly · DET Richards, Datsyuk, Green, Tatar, Mantha

  10. P1 10:06Shot by Corrado, saved by Howard
  11. P1 11:17Shot by Richards, saved by Sparks
  12. P1 11:44Shot by Marchenko, saved by Sparks
  13. P1 11:58Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Sparks
  14. P1 12:04Shot by Quincey, saved by Sparks
  15. P1 12:05Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Sparks
  16. P1 15:39Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  17. P1 16:44Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Sparks
  18. P1 15:53Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  19. P1 17:19Goal by Green (Ericsson, Glendening)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Marincin, Rielly, Lindberg, Kapanen · DET Ericsson, Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, Mantha

  20. P1 17:51Shot by Helm, saved by Sparks
  21. P1 18:37Shot by Laich, saved by Howard
  22. P1 19:35Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Sparks
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:31Shot by Marincin, saved by Howard
  26. P2 0:58Shot by Lindberg, saved by Howard
  27. P2 1:25Shot by Laich, saved by Howard
  28. P2 1:50Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Sparks
  29. P2 2:02Shot by Glendening, saved by Sparks
  30. P2 2:44Goal by Greening (Nylander, Rielly)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Marincin, Rielly, Nylander · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Mantha

  31. P2 7:23Kadri: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Brennan, Campbell, Kadri, Gauthier · DET Ericsson, Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, Mantha

  32. P2 8:21Green: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Laich, Froese, Marincin, Rielly · DET Richards, Green, Nyquist, Tatar, Larkin

  33. P2 8:29Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard4v4
  34. P2 9:05Shot by Parenteau, saved by Howard4v4
  35. P2 9:27Shot by Nyquist, saved by Sparks5v4
  36. P2 10:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard5v4
  37. P2 10:24Shot by Marincin, saved by Howard
  38. P2 10:37Shot by Sheahan, saved by Sparks
  39. P2 12:23Shot by Parenteau, saved by Howard6v5
  40. P2 12:24Ericsson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Froese, Corrado, Rielly, Nylander · DET Richards, Datsyuk, Ericsson, Green, Helm

  41. P2 13:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard5v4
  42. P2 14:13Shot by Lindberg, saved by Howard5v4
  43. P2 14:35Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  44. P2 14:44Shot by Larkin, saved by Sparks
  45. P2 16:29Shot by Lindberg, saved by Howard
  46. P2 17:19Shot by Richards, saved by Sparks
  47. P2 17:26Shot by Green, saved by Sparks
  48. P2 17:33Brennan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Laich, Brennan, Campbell, Froese, Gauthier · DET Ericsson, Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, Mantha

  49. P2 17:40Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Sparks4v5
  50. P2 17:41Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Sparks4v5
  51. P2 18:07Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Sparks4v5
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P2 10:25Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:23Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Sparks
  56. P3 0:49Shot by Parenteau, saved by Howard
  57. P3 3:10Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  58. P3 3:13Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard
  59. P3 3:12Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  60. P3 3:59Goal by Quincey (Helm, Richards)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Campbell, Rielly, Nylander · DET Quincey, Green, Helm, Tatar, Sheahan

  61. P3 4:11Shot by Laich, saved by Howard
  62. P3 4:11Shot by Laich, saved by Howard
  63. P3 4:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard
  64. P3 6:21Ericsson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Brennan, Gardiner, Nylander · DET Richards, Datsyuk, Ericsson, Helm, DeKeyser

  65. P3 6:21Parenteau: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Brennan, Gardiner, Nylander · DET Richards, Datsyuk, Ericsson, Helm, DeKeyser

  66. P3 8:19Shot by Marincin, saved by Howard4v4
  67. P3 9:18Shot by Brennan, saved by Howard
  68. P3 9:35Shot by Tatar, saved by Sparks
  69. P3 10:45Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Sparks
  70. P3 12:24Nyquist: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brennan, Bozak, Rielly, Lindberg, Kapanen · DET Quincey, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  71. P3 15:26Shot by Froese, saved by Howard
  72. P3 17:21Shot by Lindberg, saved by Howard6v5
  73. P3 18:53Goal by Nylander (Kadri, Boyes)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Parenteau, Brennan, Kadri, Marincin, Nylander · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Marchenko, Glendening

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final