Sat, Apr 2, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 57% of the time.
34%
9%
10%
47%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Danny DeKeyserD · #65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.03 | 71.5% | 0.0 |
 Kyle QuinceyD · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.08 | 71.1% | +15.0 |
 Niklas KronwallD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:32 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 |
 Pavel DatsyukC · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 | 0.19 | 54.4% | +20.2 |
 Alexey MarchenkoD · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.01 | 36.9% | 0.0 |
 Henrik ZetterbergC · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 17:09 | 0.49 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Riley SheahanC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.06 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Gustav NyquistRW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:03 | 0.16 | 29.9% | 0.0 |
 Justin AbdelkaderLW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:46 | 0.39 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Darren HelmC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.02 | 56.9% | +15.0 |
 Brad RichardsC · #17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15:32 | 0.23 | 59.9% | +35.2 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.10 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
 Jonathan EricssonD · #52 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.08 | 34.2% | +15.0 |
 Mike GreenD · #25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.10 | 30.3% | +35.2 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.82 | 55.6% | +15.0 |
 Tomas TatarLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:04 | 0.28 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Anthony ManthaRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:27 | 0.00 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Andreas AthanasiouC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:50 | 0.03 | 55.8% | 0.0 |
 Jimmy Howard#35 | W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.72 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25:38 | 0.20 | 55.3% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:36 | 0.23 | 75.3% | +15.2 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.10 | 64.5% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.45 | 41.4% | +4.1 |
 Frank CorradoD · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.02 | 26.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 PA ParenteauRW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.30 | 65.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #39 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.04 | 81.5% | +19.3 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.01 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael GrabnerLW · #40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.19 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Brad BoyesRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:07 | 0.03 | 36.2% | +4.1 |
 Tobias LindbergRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:58 | 0.19 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Colin GreeningC · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.26 | 65.3% | +15.2 |
 Brooks LaichC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:40 | 0.61 | 72.5% | 0.0 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrennanD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.04 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CampbellD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.04 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Byron FroeseC · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.01 | 74.6% | 0.0 |
 Garret Sparks#31 | L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.35 | −0.7 | 57:15 |