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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 7, 2016·Prudential Center, Newark

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New Jersey Devils 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

NJD winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:37Sustr: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Elias, Josefson, Moore, Sislo, Severson · TBL Killorn, Garrison, Namestnikov, Sustr, Drouin

  3. P1 0:56Shot by Schlemko, saved by Bishop5v4
  4. P1 0:56Shot by Elias, saved by Bishop5v4
  5. P1 1:11Shot by Schlemko, saved by Bishop5v4
  6. P1 3:10Blandisi: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Greene, Henrique, Smith-Pelly, Larsson, Blandisi · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov

  7. P1 4:26Shot by Killorn, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  8. P1 4:38Shot by Garrison, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  9. P1 5:05Shot by Garrison, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  10. P1 5:45Goal by Condra (Sustr, Boyle)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Greene, Josefson, Larsson, Blandisi, Kalinin · TBL Boyle, Carle, Blunden, Condra, Sustr

  11. P1 7:32Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kinkaid
  12. P1 10:16Farnham: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NJD Gionta, Schlemko, Farnham, Blandisi, Mozik · TBL Boyle, Carle, Blunden, Condra, Nesterov

  13. P1 10:16Blunden: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Gionta, Schlemko, Farnham, Blandisi, Mozik · TBL Boyle, Carle, Blunden, Condra, Nesterov

  14. P1 10:16Blandisi: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NJD Gionta, Schlemko, Farnham, Blandisi, Mozik · TBL Boyle, Carle, Blunden, Condra, Nesterov

  15. P1 10:16Blunden: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NJD Gionta, Schlemko, Farnham, Blandisi, Mozik · TBL Boyle, Carle, Blunden, Condra, Nesterov

  16. P1 15:31Shot by Sustr, saved by Kinkaid
  17. P1 15:31Shot by Johnson, saved by Kinkaid
  18. P1 17:29Shot by Blunden, saved by Kinkaid
  19. P1 17:51Shot by Condra, saved by Kinkaid
  20. P1 19:59Shot by Drouin, saved by Kinkaid
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:39Shot by Boucher, saved by Bishop
  24. P2 1:20Shot by Larsson, saved by Bishop
  25. P2 3:16Shot by Farnham, saved by Bishop
  26. P2 3:29Shot by Gionta, saved by Bishop
  27. P2 3:58Shot by Moore, saved by Bishop
  28. P2 3:58Blandisi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Elias, Moore, Boucher, Severson, Blandisi · TBL Carle, Killorn, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Drouin

  29. P2 4:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  30. P2 5:01Shot by Palmieri, saved by Bishop4v5
  31. P2 5:41Shot by Filppula, saved by Kinkaid4v5
  32. P2 7:16Goal by Kalinin (Moore, Gionta)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Gionta, Moore, Farnham, Severson, Kalinin · TBL Boyle, Blunden, Condra, Garrison, Sustr

  33. P2 7:59Shot by Kalinin, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 8:35Shot by Drouin, saved by Kinkaid
  35. P2 10:35Shot by Josefson, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 10:50Shot by Filppula, saved by Kinkaid
  37. P2 11:16Shot by Carle, saved by Kinkaid
  38. P2 14:22Shot by Josefson, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 14:45Goal by Paquette (Filppula, Carle)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Josefson, Moore, Smith-Pelly, Boucher, Severson · TBL Filppula, Carle, Taormina, Brown, Paquette

  40. P2 16:17Shot by Garrison, saved by Kinkaid
  41. P2 19:40Shot by Henrique, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:28Shot by Josefson, saved by Bishop
  45. P3 0:52Shot by Drouin, saved by Kinkaid
  46. P3 3:50Goal by Drouin (Namestnikov)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Elias, Greene, Josefson, Boucher, Larsson · TBL Killorn, Garrison, Namestnikov, Sustr, Drouin

  47. P3 8:09Shot by Palat, saved by Kinkaid
  48. P3 8:19Shot by Henrique, saved by Bishop
  49. P3 9:26Goal by Kalinin (Farnham, Gionta)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Gionta, Schlemko, Farnham, Kalinin, Mozik · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Blunden, Condra, Taormina

  50. P3 9:47Shot by Schlemko, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 12:14Shot by Palmieri, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 12:19Shot by Gionta, saved by Bishop
  53. P3 14:07Blandisi: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Greene, Smith-Pelly, Sislo, Larsson, Blandisi · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Taormina, Namestnikov, Drouin

  54. P3 14:07Namestnikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NJD Greene, Smith-Pelly, Sislo, Larsson, Blandisi · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Taormina, Namestnikov, Drouin

  55. P3 17:07Shot by Moore, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 17:45Shot by Sislo, saved by Bishop
  57. P3 18:46Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kinkaid
  58. P3 19:13Goal by Filppula (Kucherov, Carle)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: NJD Elias, Zajac, Palmieri, Moore, Boucher, Blandisi · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Carle, Kucherov, Paquette

  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Final