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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 7, 2016·Prudential Center, Newark

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New Jersey Devils 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 56% of the time.

NJD winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NJD forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johnson–Palat–KucherovKillorn–Namestnikov–DrouinFilppula–Brown–PaquetteBoyle–Blunden–CondraBoyle–Condra–KucherovCarle–NesterovGarrison–SustrCoburn–TaorminaCoburn–GarrisonNesterov–SustrTaormina–SustrCoburn–CarleCarle–TaorminaCarle–Garrison
Zajac–Henrique–Palmieri10:050.20–0.221:160.00–0.001:300.02–0.002:430.08–0.044:500.14–0.122:100.00–0.000:580.00–0.071:010.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:340.00–0.04
Elias–Josefson–Boucher4:510.05–0.081:450.11–0.040:400.03–0.000:570.00–0.002:320.05–0.002:050.11–0.102:000.02–0.001:200.00–0.00
Gionta–Farnham–Kalinin0:360.11–0.005:510.55–0.001:410.12–0.001:520.16–0.001:210.31–0.000:350.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Smith-Pelly–Sislo–Blandisi1:310.00–0.002:360.00–0.021:030.11–0.002:080.00–0.062:480.00–0.001:030.11–0.00
Josefson–Smith-Pelly–Sislo0:390.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Gionta–Smith-Pelly–Farnham0:500.00–0.000:350.00–0.13
Smith-Pelly–Boucher–Kalinin1:150.00–0.041:090.00–0.04
Elias–Josefson–Sislo1:110.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Gionta–Farnham–Blandisi0:390.00–0.110:390.00–0.11
Josefson–Smith-Pelly–Boucher0:420.19–0.100:420.19–0.10
Greene–Larsson9:500.13–0.175:010.00–0.081:470.02–0.000:410.02–0.152:470.02–0.005:230.11–0.185:020.00–0.001:260.00–0.071:080.00–0.001:020.00–0.00
Moore–Severson4:040.05–0.004:340.30–0.162:360.22–0.000:590.00–0.004:450.14–0.062:440.19–0.042:160.07–0.131:250.02–0.000:450.19–0.10
Schlemko–Mozik2:470.00–0.082:500.11–0.022:170.00–0.004:420.45–0.114:470.12–0.153:420.08–0.063:000.27–0.000:350.00–0.000:490.09–0.00
Severson–Mozik1:080.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndJosefson FElias FSislo FBoucher FHenrique FSmith-Pelly FKalinin FZajac FPalmieri FBlandisi FGionta FFarnham FMoore DSeverson DSchlemko DMozik DLarsson DGreene DKinkaid GKillorn FDrouin FNamestnikov FBrown FFilppula FBoyle FPalat FJohnson FPaquette FKucherov FCondra FBlunden FGarrison DSustr DCarle DCoburn DTaormina DNesterov DBishop G
NJDTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Adam LarssonNJD2624:050:561:4716
Andy GreeneNJD2523:020:551:4816
Jason GarrisonTBL2722:360:502:2544
Matt CarleTBL2521:140:511:3543
Adam HenriqueNJD2320:430:541:1526
Travis ZajacNJD2420:430:521:5817
Kyle PalmieriNJD2319:410:511:5815
Nikita KucherovTBL2219:150:531:2161
Braydon CoburnTBL2319:140:501:3714
Andrej SustrTBL2519:090:461:3442
Nikita NesterovTBL2219:080:521:3741
Ondrej PalatTBL2118:480:541:1552
David SchlemkoNJD2518:240:441:5641
John MooreNJD2418:200:461:3320
Tyler JohnsonTBL2118:190:521:1552
Damon SeversonNJD1917:530:562:0320
Matt TaorminaTBL2217:010:461:2522
Alex KillornTBL2116:300:471:2120
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2115:580:461:2402
Vojtech MozikNJD2315:510:411:5621
Jonathan DrouinTBL2015:410:471:1120
Jacob JosefsonNJD2314:590:391:1021
Patrik EliasNJD2114:530:432:0122
Devante Smith-PellyNJD1814:110:471:2520
Reid BoucherNJD1914:080:451:2431
Brian BoyleTBL1813:320:451:0654
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1813:100:441:1620
Stephen GiontaNJD1813:010:431:2522
JT BrownTBL1812:290:420:5912
Cedric PaquetteTBL1712:050:431:1601
Erik CondraTBL1411:430:501:2134
Bobby FarnhamNJD1411:240:491:2532
Sergey KalininNJD1311:180:521:4831
Joseph BlandisiNJD2011:160:341:2001
Mike SisloNJD1610:290:391:0511
Mike BlundenTBL1310:080:471:0834