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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 13, 2016·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Anaheim Ducks 2, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 62% of the time.

DAL winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Ritchie, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 0:32Benn: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Manson, Ritchie

  4. P1 0:48Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi4v5
  5. P1 3:40Goal by Johns (Eaves, Benn)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Oduya, Eaves, Benn, Johns, Seguin · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Manson, Ritchie

  6. P1 4:42Shot by Vermette, saved by Niemi
  7. P1 5:46Shot by Fowler, saved by Niemi
  8. P1 7:50Shot by Fowler, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 9:02Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi
  10. P1 9:05Benn: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Benn, Klingberg, Faksa · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Manson, Ritchie

  11. P1 9:04Shot by Ritchie, saved by Niemi
  12. P1 9:05Benn: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Benn, Klingberg, Faksa · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Manson, Ritchie

  13. P1 9:11Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi4v5
  14. P1 13:08Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi
  15. P1 13:14Ritchie: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Benn, Roussel, Nemeth, Faksa · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Vatanen, Manson, Ritchie

  16. P1 13:32Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Niemi5v4
  17. P1 14:08Shot by Cogliano, saved by Niemi5v4
  18. P1 14:09Goal by Cogliano, unassisted5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · ANA Cogliano, Fowler, Wagner, Manson

  19. P1 15:47Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi
  20. P1 16:57Sharp: Kneeing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Sharp, Hudler, Nemeth · ANA Bieksa, Getzlaf, Perry, Raymond, Manson

  21. P1 17:24Shot by Bieksa, saved by Niemi4v5
  22. P1 18:41Shot by Bieksa, saved by Niemi4v5
  23. P1 18:50Shot by Despres, saved by Niemi4v5
  24. P1 18:52Shot by Cogliano, saved by Niemi4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:57Shot by Johns, saved by Gibson
  28. P2 2:43Goal by Korpikoski (Shore, Hamhuis)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Korpikoski, Nemeth, Klingberg, Ritchie, Shore · ANA Raymond, Boll, Fowler, Wagner, Manson

  29. P2 2:55Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi
  30. P2 3:38Shot by Johns, saved by Gibson
  31. P2 3:57Shot by Johns, saved by Gibson
  32. P2 8:06Shot by Cracknell, saved by Gibson
  33. P2 8:54Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi
  34. P2 9:15Cogliano: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Sharp, Oduya, Hudler, Johns · ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Despres, Silfverberg, Vatanen

  35. P2 11:00Shot by Spezza, saved by Gibson5v4
  36. P2 12:40Boll: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Sharp, Hudler, Benn, Shore · ANA Boll, Fowler, Wagner, Garbutt, Manson

  37. P2 13:12Shot by Shore, saved by Gibson5v4
  38. P2 15:37Shot by Ritchie, saved by Niemi
  39. P2 17:27Shot by Klingberg, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 18:16Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi
  41. P2 19:50Shot by Seguin, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:01Goal by Cogliano (Kesler, Silfverberg)+30 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Sharp, Oduya, Hudler, Johns · ANA Bieksa, Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Manson

  45. P3 1:23Goal by Roussel (Cracknell, Benn)+31 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Cracknell, Benn, Roussel, Faksa · ANA Vermette, Bieksa, Raymond, Vatanen, Sorensen

  46. P3 1:59Manson: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Nemeth, Seguin, Klingberg · ANA Getzlaf, Perry, Fowler, Manson, Ritchie

  47. P3 2:20Shot by Sharp, saved by Gibson5v4
  48. P3 2:33Shot by Sharp, saved by Gibson5v4
  49. P3 3:45Shot by Cogliano, saved by Niemi5v4
  50. P3 5:05Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi
  51. P3 5:07Shot by Ritchie, saved by Niemi
  52. P3 6:55Shot by Roussel, saved by Gibson
  53. P3 7:41Shot by Vatanen, saved by Niemi
  54. P3 8:54Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Niemi
  55. P3 9:23Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Gibson
  56. P3 9:37Goal by Cracknell (Faksa, Roussel)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cracknell, Roussel, Nemeth, Klingberg, Faksa · ANA Bieksa, Kesler, Silfverberg, Vatanen, Garbutt

  57. P3 10:02Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Gibson
  58. P3 10:29Shot by Benn, saved by Gibson
  59. P3 10:36Shot by Seguin, saved by Gibson
  60. P3 11:17Shot by Sharp, saved by Gibson
  61. P3 13:36Shot by Bieksa, saved by Niemi
  62. P3 13:56Shot by Bieksa, saved by Niemi
  63. P3 14:02Shot by Kesler, saved by Niemi
  64. P3 15:07Hamhuis: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Korpikoski, Benn, Ritchie, Shore · ANA Vermette, Vatanen, Fowler, Garbutt, Sorensen

  65. P3 15:16Shot by Fowler, saved by Niemi4v5
  66. P3 16:45Shot by Bieksa, saved by Niemi4v5
  67. P3 16:55Shot by Kesler, saved by Niemi4v5
  68. P3 17:33Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Niemi5v6
  69. P3 19:46Shot by Vatanen, saved by Niemi5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final