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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 18, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Trocheck, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 2:59Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 3:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 6:08Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 8:05Shot by Barkov, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 9:02Shot by Point, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 9:16Shot by Point, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 9:32Shot by Sceviour, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 11:11Shot by Jagr, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 12:11Paquette: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette · FLA MacKenzie, Harper, McKegg, Petrovic, Pysyk

  15. P1 15:00Shot by Sceviour, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 15:14Shot by Drouin, saved by Reimer
  17. P1 15:45Shot by Trocheck, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 16:15Shot by Sceviour, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 16:55Shot by Point, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 19:59Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:18Shot by Sustr, saved by Reimer
  24. P2 1:44Shot by Sustr, saved by Reimer
  25. P2 1:45Trocheck: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov, Sustr · FLA Jokinen, Demers, Smith, Trocheck, Matheson

  26. P2 2:38Goal by Sceviour (MacKenzie)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Palat, Namestnikov · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Petrovic, Matheson

  27. P2 3:56Shot by Coburn, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 4:13Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 4:23Shot by Trocheck, saved by Bishop
  30. P2 6:18Goal by Killorn (Kucherov)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Johnson, Nesterov, Kucherov · FLA Jokinen, Yandle, Smith, Trocheck, Ekblad

  31. P2 8:45Shot by Point, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 12:30Shot by Drouin, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 12:58Shot by Matheson, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 13:14Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Reimer
  35. P2 13:42Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 14:28Shot by Nesterov, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 14:49Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 15:15Shot by Pysyk, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 16:19Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 16:21Goal by Palat (Stamkos, Drouin)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Drouin · FLA Jokinen, Smith, Petrovic, Pysyk, Trocheck

  41. P2 17:11Shot by Coburn, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 18:17Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 18:37Nesterov: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Nesterov, Kucherov, Drouin · FLA Jokinen, Smith, Petrovic, Pysyk, Trocheck, Malgin

  44. P2 19:09Shot by Johnson, saved by Reimer4v5
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:55Shot by Sustr, saved by Reimer
  48. P3 1:38Shot by Matheson, saved by Bishop
  49. P3 4:32Shot by Boyle, saved by Reimer
  50. P3 4:47Shot by Brown, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 5:16Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 5:24Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  53. P3 5:26Goal by Trocheck (Jokinen, Smith)+33 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov, Sustr · FLA Jokinen, Yandle, Smith, Trocheck, Ekblad

  54. P3 5:45Yandle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette · FLA MacKenzie, Yandle, Harper, McKegg, Ekblad

  55. P3 5:45Yandle: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette · FLA MacKenzie, Yandle, Harper, McKegg, Ekblad

  56. P3 5:45Brown: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette · FLA MacKenzie, Yandle, Harper, McKegg, Ekblad

  57. P3 7:47Shot by Stamkos, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 8:53Shot by Malgin, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 9:16Shot by Petrovic, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 9:29Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 9:39Drouin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Drouin · FLA Jokinen, Smith, Petrovic, Trocheck, Ekblad

  62. P3 11:29Shot by Yandle, saved by Bishop4v5
  63. P3 11:56Shot by Stralman, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 12:05Shot by Marchessault, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 12:43Shot by Harper, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 15:52Goal by Matheson (McKegg, Demers)+40 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Johnson, Nesterov, Kucherov · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Demers, McKegg, Matheson

  67. P3 16:06Shot by Yandle, saved by Bishop
  68. P3 18:16Shot by Petrovic, saved by Bishop
  69. P3 19:54Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Filppula)6v5+50 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov · FLA Jokinen, Sceviour, Demers, Trocheck, Matheson

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. OT 0:00Period start
  72. OT 1:48Shot by Yandle, saved by Bishop3v3
  73. OT 2:11Jagr: Tripping (2 min)3v3

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin · FLA Jagr, Yandle, Marchessault

  74. OT 4:25Shot by Petrovic, saved by Bishop4v4
  75. OT 5:00Period end
  76. SO Period start
  77. SO Shot by Marchessault, saved by Bishopother
  78. SO Shot by Kucherov, saved by Reimerother
  79. SO Shot by Barkov, saved by Bishopother
  80. SO Goal by Drouin, unassistedother
  81. SO Goal by Trocheck, unassistedother
  82. SO Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bishopother
  83. SO Shot by Hedman, saved by Reimerother
  84. SO Goal by Point, unassistedother
  85. SO Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bishopother
  86. SO Period end
  87. SO Final