Tue, Oct 18, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Florida Panthers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
40%
11%
10%
39%
TBL winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 0.16 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.11 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 23:10 | 0.48 | 65.7% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.02 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.02 | 52.0% | +40.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.15 | 47.6% | +40.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.27 | 65.3% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.13 | 63.4% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.25 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.22 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:50 | 0.09 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.05 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:49 | 0.25 | 31.8% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.03 | 39.0% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:13 | 0.04 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.03 | 32.4% | +40.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.03 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:04 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.32 | −0.7 | 64:47 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:35 | 0.04 | 56.5% | +49.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:18 | 0.06 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:52 | 0.32 | 56.5% | +77.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.35 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.06 | 36.3% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.05 | 47.3% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.03 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.03 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.25 | 40.4% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.22 | 58.9% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.00 | 60.6% | +49.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.12 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.13 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.11 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:42 | 0.30 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:35 | 0.13 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.06 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:54 | 0.06 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.33 | −0.7 | 63:58 |