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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 19, 2016·Madison Square Garden, New York

Detroit Red Wings 2, New York Rangers 1

Away

Detroit Red Wings

2

Final

Home

New York Rangers

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 82% of the time.

NYR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Shot by Nash, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:09Goal by Zibanejad (McDonagh, Kreider)+13 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, McDonagh, Holden, Kreider, Zibanejad · DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Helm, Sheahan, Marchenko

  4. P1 3:31Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:47Shot by Pirri, saved by Howard
  6. P1 4:45Shot by Marchenko, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 5:28Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 6:58Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 7:47Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 9:36Shot by Staal, saved by Howard
  11. P1 10:30Shot by Grabner, saved by Howard
  12. P1 10:55Shot by Grabner, saved by Howard
  13. P1 11:47Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  14. P1 12:14Shot by Staal, saved by Howard
  15. P1 12:29Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  16. P1 12:36Shot by Nash, saved by Howard
  17. P1 13:29Shot by Hayes, saved by Howard
  18. P1 14:56Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 15:17Shot by Grabner, saved by Howard
  20. P1 16:22Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  21. P1 18:25Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  22. P1 18:32Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:49Zuccarello: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Holden, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad · DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  26. P2 1:56Shot by Grabner, saved by Howard4v5
  27. P2 2:46Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  28. P2 2:57Shot by Nash, saved by Howard
  29. P2 3:02Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Howard
  30. P2 3:38Shot by McDonagh, saved by Howard
  31. P2 4:29Clendening: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Hayes, Fast, Clendening, Miller, Skjei · DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar, Marchenko

  32. P2 4:39Shot by Stepan, saved by Howard4v5
  33. P2 5:48Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  34. P2 6:15Goal by Vanek (Nielsen, Green)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, McDonagh, Holden, Stepan · DET Zetterberg, Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Tatar

  35. P2 10:55Larkin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, McDonagh, Holden, Kreider, Zuccarello, Zibanejad · DET Zetterberg, Green, Helm, Tatar, DeKeyser

  36. P2 12:01Glendening: Hooking (2 min)6v4

    On ice: NYR Nash, McDonagh, Kreider, Pirri, Hayes, Zibanejad · DET Ericsson, Miller, Smith, Glendening

  37. P2 12:39Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard5v3
  38. P2 12:42Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard5v3
  39. P2 13:18Shot by Nash, saved by Howard5v4
  40. P2 13:35Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  41. P2 13:54Smith: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Kreider, Zuccarello, Clendening, Zibanejad · DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Smith

  42. P2 15:01Shot by Nash, saved by Howard5v4
  43. P2 15:44Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard5v4
  44. P2 16:45Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 17:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Lundqvist
  46. P2 18:46Shot by Vesey, saved by Howard
  47. P2 18:43Shot by Stepan, saved by Howard
  48. P2 19:08Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P2 19:55Shot by Nash, saved by Howard
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:59Goal by Miller (Glendening)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, McDonagh, Holden, Kreider, Zibanejad · DET Miller, Green, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser

  53. P3 2:04Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 3:21Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 3:24Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lundqvist
  56. P3 5:15Marchenko: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Kreider, Clendening, Zibanejad, Skjei · DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Tatar, Marchenko

  57. P3 5:27Shot by Stepan, saved by Howard5v4
  58. P3 5:45Shot by Stepan, saved by Howard5v4
  59. P3 8:51Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  60. P3 9:24Kreider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, McDonagh, Kreider, Clendening, Zibanejad · DET Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Tatar, DeKeyser

  61. P3 10:02Miller: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Holden, Hayes, Miller · DET Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist, Sheahan, Larkin

  62. P3 12:32Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Howard
  63. P3 14:31Shot by Nash, saved by Howard
  64. P3 17:03Shot by Klein, saved by Howard
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final