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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 25, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Buffalo Sabres 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 77% of the time.

PHI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Bogosian, saved by Neuvirth
  4. P1 2:54Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Neuvirth
  5. P1 5:11Shot by Schenn, saved by Nilsson
  6. P1 5:19Shot by Gordon, saved by Nilsson
  7. P1 5:23Shot by Lyubimov, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 5:21Shot by Gordon, saved by Nilsson
  9. P1 6:07Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 7:37Shot by Read, saved by Nilsson
  11. P1 7:52Shot by Konecny, saved by Nilsson
  12. P1 7:59Shot by Gionta, saved by Neuvirth
  13. P1 8:04Shot by Ennis, saved by Neuvirth
  14. P1 10:24Couturier: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Manning, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov · BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Ristolainen

  15. P1 10:42Shot by Bellemare, saved by Nilsson4v5
  16. P1 11:22Shot by Ennis, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  17. P1 11:51Shot by Franson, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  18. P1 14:14Shot by Read, saved by Nilsson
  19. P1 15:24Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Nilsson
  20. P1 16:26Shot by Konecny, saved by Nilsson
  21. P1 17:58Shot by Bogosian, saved by Neuvirth
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:51Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Neuvirth
  25. P2 2:06Goal by Ennis (Girgensons, Franson)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Simmonds, Gudas, Read · BUF Franson, Ennis, Girgensons, McCabe, Reinhart

  26. P2 2:34Shot by Bellemare, saved by Nilsson
  27. P2 2:36Shot by Provorov, saved by Nilsson
  28. P2 3:36Shot by Larsson, saved by Neuvirth
  29. P2 3:43Shot by Ennis, saved by Neuvirth
  30. P2 3:50Giroux: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Simmonds, Gudas, Read · BUF Franson, Ennis, Girgensons, McCabe, Reinhart

  31. P2 3:55Shot by Moulson, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  32. P2 3:56Goal by Moulson (O'Reilly)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Gordon, MacDonald, Bellemare, Provorov · BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  33. P2 4:28Shot by Konecny, saved by Nilsson
  34. P2 6:30Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson
  35. P2 8:08Shot by Simmonds, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 8:27Ristolainen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Voracek, Gudas, Couturier, Konecny · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  37. P2 8:41Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson5v4
  38. P2 11:46Shot by Girgensons, saved by Neuvirth
  39. P2 12:30Shot by Manning, saved by Nilsson
  40. P2 13:02Shot by Lyubimov, saved by Nilsson
  41. P2 14:18Gostisbehere: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schenn, Cousins, Gostisbehere, Bellemare · BUF Gionta, Gorges, O'Reilly, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  42. P2 15:32Shot by Franson, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  43. P2 15:43Goal by Moulson (Ristolainen, Okposo)4v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Manning, Gudas, Read, Bellemare · BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  44. P2 17:39Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mason
  45. P2 17:40Konecny: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Manning, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov · BUF Franson, Ennis, Girgensons, McCabe, Reinhart

  46. P2 18:31Shot by Moulson, saved by Mason4v5
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:21Shot by Provorov, saved by Nilsson
  50. P3 0:47Shot by Read, saved by Nilsson
  51. P3 1:25Shot by Gudas, saved by Nilsson
  52. P3 1:39Shot by Girgensons, saved by Mason
  53. P3 1:52Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson
  54. P3 2:55Fasching: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gordon, VandeVelde, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Lyubimov · BUF Gorges, Grant, Deslauriers, Fasching, Ristolainen

  55. P3 3:04Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson5v4
  56. P3 4:18Shot by Provorov, saved by Nilsson5v4
  57. P3 4:30Goal by Konecny (Provorov, Streit)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Read, Couturier, Konecny, Provorov · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kulikov, Foligno

  58. P3 5:02Shot by Lyubimov, saved by Nilsson
  59. P3 5:12Shot by Read, saved by Nilsson
  60. P3 5:36Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mason
  61. P3 7:23Shot by Grant, saved by Mason
  62. P3 8:08Shot by MacDonald, saved by Nilsson
  63. P3 9:28Shot by Simmonds, saved by Nilsson
  64. P3 10:58Shot by Streit, saved by Nilsson
  65. P3 12:49Shot by Reinhart, saved by Mason
  66. P3 13:14Shot by Schenn, saved by Nilsson
  67. P3 16:04Shot by Streit, saved by Nilsson
  68. P3 16:40Kulikov: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Gostisbehere, Konecny · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kulikov, Foligno, Larsson

  69. P3 16:52Shot by Simmonds, saved by Nilsson5v4
  70. P3 17:04Goal by Schenn (Giroux, Streit)5v4+8 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Larsson, Ristolainen

  71. P3 17:33Reinhart: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Manning, Read, Couturier, Provorov · BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart

  72. P3 18:02Shot by Giroux, saved by Nilsson5v4
  73. P3 18:09Goal by Streit (Schenn, Simmonds)5v4+59 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Larsson, Ristolainen

  74. P3 18:08Shot by Streit, saved by Nilsson5v4
  75. P3 19:55Shot by Gionta, saved by Mason
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. OT 0:00Period start
  78. OT 3:11Shot by Simmonds, saved by Nilsson3v3
  79. OT 3:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mason3v3
  80. OT 3:37Shot by Giroux, saved by Nilsson3v3
  81. OT 4:56Shot by Voracek, saved by Nilsson3v3
  82. OT 5:00Period end
  83. SO Period start
  84. SO Shot by Cousins, saved by Nilssonother
  85. SO Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Masonother
  86. SO Goal by Giroux, unassistedother
  87. SO Shot by Okposo, saved by Masonother
  88. SO Goal by Voracek, unassistedother
  89. SO Period end
  90. SO Final