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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 25, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Detroit Red Wings 4

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.

DET winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:41Shot by Nakladal, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 2:34Shot by Glendening, saved by Ward
  4. P1 4:07Shot by Rask, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 4:53Goal by Vanek (Athanasiou, Helm)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Vanek, Helm, Smith, Sproul, Athanasiou · CAR Di Giuseppe, Teravainen, Lindholm, Hanifin, Nakladal

  6. P1 5:49Shot by Aho, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 6:12Shot by Tatar, saved by Ward
  8. P1 8:16Shot by Helm, saved by Ward
  9. P1 8:26DeKeyser: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ott, Miller, Green, Glendening, DeKeyser · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Nestrasil, Frk, Pesce

  10. P1 10:37Shot by Ericsson, saved by Ward
  11. P1 11:51Goal by Larkin (Zetterberg)+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Smith, Tatar, Sproul, Larkin · CAR Rask, Di Giuseppe, Teravainen, Hanifin, Nakladal

  12. P1 13:20Shot by Helm, saved by Ward
  13. P1 14:54Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 15:55Goal by Larkin (Nyquist, Marchenko)+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Nyquist, Marchenko, Larkin · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Nestrasil, Frk, Pesce

  15. P1 17:11Shot by Slavin, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 17:34Shot by Miller, saved by Ward
  17. P1 17:38Ward: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ott, Miller, Smith, Sproul · CAR Stempniak, Faulk, Rask, Teravainen, Slavin

  18. P1 19:16Shot by Sproul, saved by Ward5v4
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:23Shot by Hainsey, saved by Mrazek
  22. P2 2:59Shot by Sproul, saved by Ward
  23. P2 3:51Shot by Sheahan, saved by Ward
  24. P2 5:02Shot by Lindholm, saved by Mrazek
  25. P2 5:39Shot by Nestrasil, saved by Mrazek
  26. P2 6:43Goal by Staal (Pesce)+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Miller, Smith, Sproul, Athanasiou · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Nordstrom, Pesce, Aho

  27. P2 7:03Shot by Stalberg, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 8:05Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Ward
  29. P2 8:39Shot by Vanek, saved by Ward
  30. P2 8:46Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Ward
  31. P2 9:05Marchenko: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Vanek, Helm, Marchenko, Athanasiou · CAR Faulk, Di Giuseppe, Teravainen, Slavin, Lindholm

  32. P2 9:29Shot by Ott, saved by Ward4v5
  33. P2 9:42Shot by Aho, saved by Mrazek4v5
  34. P2 11:08Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Smith, Sheahan, Marchenko, DeKeyser · CAR Hainsey, Stempniak, Nestrasil, Rask, Di Giuseppe

  35. P2 11:27Shot by Aho, saved by Mrazek4v5
  36. P2 12:41Shot by Green, saved by Ward4v5
  37. P2 13:12Goal by Rask (Nestrasil, Hanifin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Miller, Green, Smith, Glendening · CAR Stempniak, Nestrasil, Rask, Di Giuseppe, Hanifin

  38. P2 14:04Frk: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Nyquist, Marchenko, Sproul, Larkin · CAR Hainsey, Staal, Stalberg, Nordstrom, Frk, Pesce

  39. P2 14:31Shot by Sheahan, saved by Ward5v4
  40. P2 17:04Goal by Athanasiou (Glendening, Ott)+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ott, Ericsson, Marchenko, Glendening, Athanasiou · CAR Stempniak, Faulk, Rask, Frk, Slavin

  41. P2 18:55Shot by Stalberg, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 19:16Shot by Stalberg, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 1:15Shot by Hainsey, saved by Mrazek
  46. P3 3:22Shot by Tatar, saved by Ward
  47. P3 4:29Shot by Lindholm, saved by Mrazek
  48. P3 5:21Shot by Slavin, saved by Mrazek
  49. P3 5:40Shot by Ott, saved by Ward
  50. P3 6:16Shot by Sheahan, saved by Ward
  51. P3 6:57Shot by Nyquist, saved by Ward
  52. P3 7:41Shot by Nielsen, saved by Ward
  53. P3 9:58Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Ward
  54. P3 10:32Shot by Pesce, saved by Mrazek
  55. P3 11:22Stalberg: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ott, Miller, Green, Glendening, DeKeyser · CAR Stempniak, Stalberg, Faulk, Rask, Slavin

  56. P3 11:22Ott: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Ott, Miller, Green, Glendening, DeKeyser · CAR Stempniak, Stalberg, Faulk, Rask, Slavin

  57. P3 13:19Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek4v4
  58. P3 13:23Shot by Hanifin, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 13:49Shot by Staal, saved by Mrazek
  60. P3 14:33Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 15:45Shot by Aho, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 16:04Shot by Aho, saved by Mrazek
  63. P3 18:09Shot by Pesce, saved by Mrazek5v6
  64. P3 18:22Shot by Teravainen, saved by Mrazek5v6
  65. P3 18:28Shot by Lindholm, saved by Mrazek5v6
  66. P3 18:46Shot by Teravainen, saved by Mrazek5v6
  67. P3 19:15Shot by Stempniak, saved by Mrazek5v6
  68. P3 19:36Shot by Faulk, saved by Mrazek5v6
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final