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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 30, 2016·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, New York Rangers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 74% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Raanta
  3. P1 2:22Shot by Lindberg, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 3:33Shot by Grabner, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 4:01Shot by Stralman, saved by Raanta
  6. P1 4:07Shot by Garrison, saved by Raanta
  7. P1 4:30Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 5:11Shot by Point, saved by Raanta
  9. P1 6:25Shot by Grabner, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 7:09Shot by Nesterov, saved by Raanta
  11. P1 8:21Shot by Girardi, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 10:13Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 10:15Shot by Vesey, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 10:26Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 11:40Shot by Holden, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 11:41Shot by Holden, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 12:03Killorn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Holden, Stepan, Zibanejad, Vesey · TBL Filppula, Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Drouin

  18. P1 13:09Shot by Stepan, saved by Bishop5v4
  19. P1 13:59Vesey: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Nash, Stepan, Hayes, Skjei, Vesey · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Stralman, Garrison

  20. P1 15:04Shot by Drouin, saved by Raanta4v5
  21. P1 15:59Shot by Grabner, saved by Bishop4v5
  22. P1 16:49Shot by Nesterov, saved by Raanta
  23. P1 17:03Shot by Girardi, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 17:02Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 17:09Stamkos: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Nesterov, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  26. P1 17:06Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bishop
  27. P1 17:37Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop5v4
  28. P1 18:35Zuccarello: Clipping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR McDonagh, Pirri, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · TBL Boyle, Callahan, Garrison, Sustr

  29. P1 18:41Shot by Drouin, saved by Raanta4v4
  30. P1 19:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Raanta4v5
  31. P1 19:59Shot by Drouin, saved by Raanta4v5
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 1:22Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 2:23Shot by Callahan, saved by Raanta
  36. P2 2:48Shot by Boyle, saved by Raanta
  37. P2 3:52Shot by Killorn, saved by Raanta
  38. P2 3:58Shot by Filppula, saved by Raanta
  39. P2 4:31Shot by Coburn, saved by Raanta
  40. P2 4:45Goal by Nash (Holden)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Holden, Stepan, Vesey · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Sustr, Point

  41. P2 5:09Shot by Paquette, saved by Raanta
  42. P2 6:11Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 6:15Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 6:42Goal by Grabner (Skjei, Hayes)+12 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Grabner, Hayes, Miller, Skjei · TBL Filppula, Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Drouin

  45. P2 7:04Goal by Vesey (Nash)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Holden, Stepan, Vesey · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Sustr, Point

  46. P2 8:23Shot by Hayes, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 8:32Shot by Filppula, saved by Raanta
  48. P2 9:15Killorn: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR Klein, Staal, Grabner, Stepan, Hayes, Miller · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Sustr, Drouin

  49. P2 9:15Drouin: Holding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Klein, Staal, Grabner, Stepan, Hayes, Miller · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Sustr, Drouin

  50. P2 9:31Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop5v3
  51. P2 10:27Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bishop5v3
  52. P2 11:17Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop
  53. P2 11:59Shot by Girardi, saved by Bishop
  54. P2 12:21Shot by Coburn, saved by Raanta
  55. P2 14:10Shot by Vesey, saved by Bishop
  56. P2 15:19Shot by Boyle, saved by Raanta
  57. P2 16:52Shot by Staal, saved by Bishop
  58. P2 18:10Shot by Hayes, saved by Bishop
  59. P2 18:10Goal by Miller (Hayes, Girardi)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller · TBL Stralman, Garrison, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov

  60. P2 19:39Shot by Drouin, saved by Raanta
  61. P2 19:48Shot by Hedman, saved by Raanta
  62. P2 19:55Killorn: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller · TBL Filppula, Killorn, Hedman, Nesterov, Drouin

  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 3:38Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 5:19Shot by Stamkos, saved by Raanta
  67. P3 5:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Raanta
  68. P3 5:40Shot by Stamkos, saved by Raanta
  69. P3 7:55Shot by Garrison, saved by Raanta
  70. P3 9:02Goal by Grabner (Miller, McDonagh)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Grabner, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller · TBL Stamkos, Nesterov, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Sustr

  71. P3 9:17Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 9:45Holden: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Holden, Zuccarello, Zibanejad, Buchnevich · TBL Filppula, Garrison, Palat, Sustr, Point

  73. P3 9:49Shot by Kucherov, saved by Raanta4v5
  74. P3 12:48Shot by Pirri, saved by Bishop
  75. P3 13:19Shot by Drouin, saved by Raanta
  76. P3 14:36Shot by Point, saved by Raanta
  77. P3 14:47Goal by Grabner (Hayes, Miller)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Grabner, Holden, Hayes, Miller · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Point

  78. P3 15:21Pirri: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Pirri, Lindberg, Fast, Skjei · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Callahan, Paquette, Sustr

  79. P3 16:36Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Stralman)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Drouin

  80. P3 17:32Shot by Nesterov, saved by Raanta
  81. P3 17:51Shot by Sustr, saved by Raanta
  82. P3 17:56Shot by Coburn, saved by Raanta
  83. P3 19:08Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bishop
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final