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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 1, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Shot by Marner, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 1:29Goal by Kadri (Brown, Polak)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Brown · EDM Letestu, Eberle, Larsson, Klefbom, McDavid

  4. P1 1:57Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:47Shot by Russell, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:42Shot by Carrick, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 5:06Shot by Sekera, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 5:13Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:16Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 7:15Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 7:31Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 8:05Shot by Bozak, saved by Talbot
  13. P1 8:24Martin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Martin, Smith, Soshnikov · EDM Pouliot, Letestu, Pitlick, Benning, Nurse

  14. P1 8:31Shot by Eberle, saved by Andersen4v5
  15. P1 9:33Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen4v5
  16. P1 9:42Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen4v5
  17. P1 9:57Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen4v5
  18. P1 10:30Shot by Russell, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 10:33Shot by Pitlick, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 12:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  21. P1 12:32Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 14:03Shot by Lander, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 14:14Shot by Sekera, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 15:41Shot by Hyman, saved by Talbot
  25. P1 15:54Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Talbot
  26. P1 17:56Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 18:03Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 19:29Goal by Lander (Pitlick, Letestu)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner · EDM Letestu, Lander, Pitlick, Larsson, Klefbom

  29. P1 19:46Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:58Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 1:26Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 1:33Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 3:14Goal by Smith (Soshnikov, Martin)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Martin, Smith, Marincin, Carrick, Soshnikov · EDM Russell, Letestu, Lander, Pitlick, Nurse

  36. P2 3:25Shot by Brown, saved by Talbot
  37. P2 3:50Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot
  38. P2 5:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 5:46Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Talbot
  40. P2 6:27Shot by Smith, saved by Talbot
  41. P2 6:31Shot by Martin, saved by Talbot
  42. P2 7:28Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 7:45Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 8:24Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Talbot
  45. P2 8:35Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 8:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  47. P2 8:51Shot by Pouliot, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 9:11Soshnikov: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, Gardiner, Martin, Smith, Soshnikov · EDM Pouliot, Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom

  49. P2 10:23Shot by Lucic, saved by Andersen4v5
  50. P2 10:49Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen4v5
  51. P2 11:15Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 12:52Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 13:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  54. P2 14:31Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 14:35Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 16:36Shot by Bozak, saved by Talbot6v5
  57. P2 16:36Lander: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Kadri, Marincin, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · EDM Lucic, Eberle, Benning, Nurse, McDavid

  58. P2 16:34Shot by Rielly, saved by Talbot6v5
  59. P2 17:27Kassian: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · EDM Sekera, Russell, Letestu, Kassian

  60. P2 17:27Kadri: Embellishment (2 min)5v3

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · EDM Sekera, Russell, Letestu, Kassian

  61. P2 18:56Shot by Benning, saved by Andersen
  62. P2 19:39Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Talbot
  63. P2 19:47Shot by Martin, saved by Talbot
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 1:10Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  67. P3 1:49Shot by Klefbom, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 2:29Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Talbot
  69. P3 2:43Shot by Kassian, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 2:57Shot by Lander, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 4:18Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Talbot
  72. P3 4:53Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 5:09Shot by Puljujarvi, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 5:56Shot by Kassian, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 6:32Shot by McDavid, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 8:29Shot by Nurse, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 8:38Goal by Nurse (Nugent-Hopkins)+35 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Hyman, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews · EDM Pouliot, Kassian, Nugent-Hopkins, Benning, Nurse

  78. P3 10:28Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot
  79. P3 12:59Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot
  80. P3 15:21Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  81. P3 15:35Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Andersen
  82. P3 15:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Talbot
  83. P3 16:18Shot by Benning, saved by Andersen
  84. P3 17:06Shot by Carrick, saved by Talbot
  85. P3 18:13Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  86. P3 19:39Shot by Matthews, saved by Talbot
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. OT 0:00Period start
  89. OT 0:12Goal by Kadri (Rielly)3v3+46 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Komarov, Kadri, Rielly · EDM Eberle, Klefbom, McDavid

  90. OT 0:12Period end
  91. OT 0:12Final