Tue, Nov 1, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
43%
9%
41%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 24:32 | 0.38 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:46 | 0.54 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.49 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.04 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:41 | 0.21 | 42.6% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:28 | 0.11 | 52.8% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.26 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.26 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.04 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.17 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 | 0.06 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15:58 | 0.55 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.06 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.24 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:51 | 0.11 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:48 | 0.23 | 52.0% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.04 | 39.7% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.01 | 31.1% | +20.1 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.83 | +0.8 | 60:12 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:43 | 0.00 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.07 | 52.4% | +45.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:56 | 0.19 | 53.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.23 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:28 | 0.65 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.24 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.10 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.11 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.06 | 50.5% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.08 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 48.4% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:26 | 0.16 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.24 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 14:05 | 0.65 | 65.3% | +58.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:25 | 0.38 | 63.8% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 7:36 | 0.44 | 63.8% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 7:35 | 0.24 | 66.5% | +21.9 |
| W | 46 | 44 | 2 | .957 | 3.80 | +1.8 | 59:54 |