Tue, Nov 1, 2016·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Buffalo Sabres 2, Minnesota Wild 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 58% of the time.
45%
12%
9%
33%
MIN winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 27:40 | 0.01 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:18 | 0.06 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:27 | 0.44 | 43.1% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:42 | 0.01 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.00 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:21 | 0.01 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:52 | 0.02 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.06 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.20 | 37.9% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.14 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:50 | 0.01 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 43.7% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:51 | 0.32 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 0.36 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.01 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:22 | 0.17 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:26 | 0.01 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:45 | 0.00 | 95.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.15 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29:49 | 0.03 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25:54 | 0.02 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.34 | 44.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.13 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:13 | 0.35 | 58.0% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:07 | 0.09 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.04 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:37 | 0.24 | 50.9% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.03 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:00 | 0.08 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.24 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.02 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.02 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.04 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.05 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:02 | 0.27 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.11 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:41 | 0.04 | 70.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.84 | −0.2 | 58:14 |