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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 3, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:43Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 0:51Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 1:35Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 3:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 4:08Goal by Marner (Bozak, van Riemsdyk)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ennis, Kulikov, Girgensons, Reinhart, Nelson · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner

  9. P1 5:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 6:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 9:51Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner
  13. P1 12:04Shot by Gionta, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 12:24Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 13:24Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 13:27Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 13:34Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 13:36Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 15:38Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 16:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 17:54Shot by Franson, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 17:58Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 17:57Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:18Shot by Komarov, saved by Lehner
  27. P2 1:50Goal by Marner, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner

  28. P2 2:50Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  29. P2 2:56Shot by Bozak, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 3:31Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehner
  31. P2 3:55Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  32. P2 4:18Shot by Kadri, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 5:58Goal by Foligno (Larsson, Reinhart)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Foligno, Larsson, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart · TOR Martin, Smith, Marincin, Carrick, Marner

  34. P2 5:57Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 6:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 6:54Shot by Marner, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 7:38Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 7:57Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 8:43Shot by Gionta, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 9:13Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 9:31Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 10:18Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehner
  43. P2 10:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 11:39Carrick: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, Kulikov, Ristolainen · TOR Kadri, Carrick, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev

  45. P2 11:49Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen5v4
  46. P2 12:09Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen5v4
  47. P2 12:29Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen5v4
  48. P2 12:27Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen5v4
  49. P2 12:35Shot by Komarov, saved by Lehner5v4
  50. P2 12:24Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen5v4
  51. P2 14:39Shot by Polak, saved by Lehner
  52. P2 14:55Soshnikov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson · TOR Gardiner, Carrick, Nylander, Soshnikov, Matthews

  53. P2 15:59Shot by Moulson, saved by Andersen5v4
  54. P2 16:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen5v4
  55. P2 16:57Shot by Grant, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 17:11Shot by Soshnikov, saved by Lehner
  57. P2 19:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Lehner
  58. P2 19:53Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 1:23Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 3:34Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 4:49Shot by Hyman, saved by Lehner
  65. P3 5:03Shot by Komarov, saved by Lehner
  66. P3 7:21Shot by Franson, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 7:51Shot by Hyman, saved by Lehner
  68. P3 8:18Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 8:21Shot by Ennis, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 8:20Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 8:32Shot by Brown, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 9:13Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 10:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 10:58Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 11:46Shot by Gardiner, saved by Lehner
  76. P3 12:50Shot by Gorges, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 13:08Shot by Nelson, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 15:14Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 16:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final