Thu, Nov 3, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
76%
12%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:15 | 0.06 | 35.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:46 | 0.02 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.02 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 19:31 | 0.05 | 49.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.09 | 20.1% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:11 | 0.22 | 23.7% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.25 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.65 | 58.1% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.02 | 6.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.11 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.02 | 19.8% | 0.0 |
 Connor CarrickD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 6.9% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 14:30 | 0.37 | 43.1% | +29.9 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.11 | 55.2% | +13.1 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 55.0% | +13.1 |
 Ben SmithRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 5.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt MartinLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:14 | 0.00 | 4.2% | 0.0 |
 Nikita SoshnikovRW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.01 | 8.1% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 43 | 42 | 1 | .977 | 4.07 | +3.1 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:29 | 0.10 | 81.4% | 0.0 |
 Dmitry KulikovD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:35 | 0.02 | 48.1% | 0.0 |
 Ryan O'ReillyC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 22:12 | 0.65 | 71.4% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:27 | 0.15 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Cody FransonD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:18 | 0.04 | 68.8% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.04 | 77.9% | 0.0 |
 Brian GiontaRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.26 | 65.0% | 0.0 |
 Marcus FolignoLW · #82 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:58 | 0.28 | 68.5% | +17.2 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.34 | 68.3% | +17.2 |
 Matt MoulsonLW · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:52 | 0.68 | 75.0% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.84 | 85.2% | +17.2 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:37 | 0.18 | 80.8% | 0.0 |
 Casey NelsonD · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.04 | 30.2% | 0.0 |
 Josh GorgesD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.01 | 80.2% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:43 | 0.42 | 73.1% | 0.0 |
 Nick BaptisteRW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:40 | 0.00 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Derek GrantC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:30 | 0.02 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
 Justin BaileyRW · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:02 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 Robin Lehner#40 | L | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 1.37 | −0.6 | 58:32 |