Thu, Nov 3, 2016·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
76%
12%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hyman–Nylander–Matthews | van Riemsdyk–Bozak–Marner | Komarov–Kadri–Brown | Martin–Smith–Soshnikov | Smith–Hyman–Nylander | Rielly–Zaitsev | Polak–Gardiner | Marincin–Carrick | Gardiner–Rielly | Polak–Marincin | Gardiner–Carrick | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gionta–Foligno–Larsson | 6:120.15–0.20 | 4:140.34–0.24 | 2:000.17–0.00 | 1:200.16–0.00 | 6:510.24–0.42 | 3:440.18–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.00 | ||||
| Moulson–Okposo–O'Reilly | 2:000.85–0.09 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 8:100.04–0.23 | 8:570.04–0.29 | 2:370.89–0.05 | ||||||
| Ennis–Girgensons–Reinhart | 2:540.00–0.02 | 3:510.04–0.13 | 1:550.49–0.00 | 1:010.30–0.03 | 3:520.34–0.04 | 3:540.37–0.13 | 1:540.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||
| Grant–Bailey–Baptiste | 2:170.04–0.15 | 2:110.00–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.15 | 2:190.00–0.03 | 0:310.04–0.00 | |||||
| Okposo–O'Reilly–Baptiste | 1:030.14–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:310.04–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Franson–McCabe | 3:540.09–0.11 | 1:550.11–0.00 | 3:020.00–0.00 | 4:270.00–0.03 | 1:050.30–0.03 | 4:400.00–0.03 | 4:500.41–0.13 | 4:490.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.01 | ||
| Kulikov–Ristolainen | 1:470.01–0.07 | 2:380.00–0.02 | 1:580.03–0.09 | 1:260.51–0.00 | 4:320.37–0.12 | 2:390.01–0.08 | 1:150.17–0.00 | ||||
| Gorges–Ristolainen | 2:060.98–0.04 | 3:160.15–0.24 | 2:190.00–0.02 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 3:460.11–0.06 | 1:290.09–0.23 | 2:240.98–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||
| Kulikov–Nelson | 2:520.02–0.07 | 1:420.02–0.23 | 1:460.01–0.12 | 1:440.01–0.13 | 2:480.02–0.26 | 2:290.02–0.05 | |||||
| Gorges–Nelson | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:350.11–0.00 | 1:050.04–0.00 | 1:030.09–0.00 | 1:170.05–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||
| Franson–Kulikov | 1:090.04–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:480.05–0.00 | |||||||
| McCabe–Ristolainen | 0:460.04–0.01 | 1:080.15–0.01 | 0:310.11–0.00 | 1:050.05–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 28 | 25:29 | 0:55 | 2:26 | 9 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 33 | 25:15 | 0:46 | 2:45 | 2 | 8 |
 Dmitry KulikovBUF | 30 | 22:35 | 0:45 | 2:17 | 7 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 24 | 22:12 | 0:56 | 2:17 | 8 | 2 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 31 | 21:46 | 0:42 | 2:27 | 2 | 6 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 24 | 21:27 | 0:54 | 2:17 | 9 | 3 |
 Cody FransonBUF | 23 | 21:18 | 0:56 | 1:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Roman PolakTOR | 27 | 21:06 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 1 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 24 | 19:53 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 6 | 2 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 25 | 19:31 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 2 | 2 |
 Brian GiontaBUF | 21 | 18:28 | 0:53 | 1:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Marcus FolignoBUF | 23 | 17:58 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 2 | 4 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 26 | 17:44 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 6 | 4 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 17:11 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 6 | 1 |
 Leo KomarovTOR | 27 | 17:05 | 0:38 | 1:49 | 1 | 8 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 22 | 17:03 | 0:47 | 1:04 | 3 | 4 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 26 | 17:03 | 0:39 | 2:04 | 1 | 5 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 21 | 16:53 | 0:48 | 2:41 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 20 | 16:52 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 7 | 1 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 21 | 16:32 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 8 | 0 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 28 | 16:08 | 0:35 | 1:19 | 0 | 6 |
 William NylanderTOR | 22 | 16:03 | 0:44 | 1:40 | 7 | 0 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 22 | 15:37 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 6 | 1 |
 Connor CarrickTOR | 21 | 15:37 | 0:45 | 2:42 | 2 | 0 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 20 | 14:30 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 5 | 1 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 20 | 14:18 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 4 | 2 |
 James van RiemsdykTOR | 20 | 14:09 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 5 | 1 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 23 | 14:05 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 0 | 3 |
 Josh GorgesBUF | 21 | 14:04 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 13:43 | 0:41 | 1:15 | 5 | 0 |
 Ben SmithTOR | 18 | 12:11 | 0:41 | 1:49 | 1 | 5 |
 Matt MartinTOR | 15 | 10:14 | 0:41 | 2:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 13 | 9:40 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 Nikita SoshnikovTOR | 15 | 9:16 | 0:37 | 1:45 | 2 | 1 |
 Derek GrantBUF | 11 | 7:30 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 1 | 1 |
 Justin BaileyBUF | 11 | 7:02 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 |