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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 5, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 1

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

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Ottawa Senators

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:37Shot by Neil, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 3:50Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 5:40Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 6:59Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 7:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 8:37Shot by Gionta, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 8:45Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehner
  9. P1 9:18Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 9:26Kelly: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci · BUF Moulson, Okposo, O'Reilly, McCabe, Nelson

  11. P1 10:22Shot by Moulson, saved by Anderson4v5
  12. P1 10:40Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner4v5
  13. P1 12:31Gorges: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Turris, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman · BUF Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  14. P1 14:32Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Lehner
  15. P1 14:55Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 15:29Shot by Girgensons, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 16:47Shot by Baptiste, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 17:01Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner
  19. P1 19:00Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 19:39Shot by Girgensons, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:13Shot by Okposo, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 0:47Shot by Okposo, saved by Anderson
  25. P2 1:36Shot by Turris, saved by Lehner
  26. P2 1:56Baptiste: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Turris, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman · BUF Gionta, Kulikov, Foligno, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson

  27. P2 2:24Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner5v4
  28. P2 2:42Goal by Hoffman (Ryan, Karlsson)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Larsson, Ristolainen

  29. P2 3:31Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  30. P2 4:08Shot by Carrier, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 4:26Shot by Grant, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 4:43Shot by Methot, saved by Lehner
  33. P2 4:59Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 5:59Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 6:40Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 7:11Shot by Dzingel, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 7:13Shot by Neil, saved by Lehner
  38. P2 7:46Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 9:49Shot by Smith, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 10:06Shot by Foligno, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 13:09Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 13:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 14:16Shot by Kelly, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 14:42Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 14:48Shot by Okposo, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 15:44Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 16:47Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 16:56Shot by Stone, saved by Lehner
  49. P2 17:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  50. P2 18:58Shot by Gionta, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 19:08Shot by Pyatt, saved by Lehner
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 1:07Goal by Okposo (McCabe, Larsson)+30 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Pyatt, Pageau, Ceci · BUF Franson, Okposo, Foligno, Larsson, McCabe

  55. P3 2:51Shot by Puempel, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 3:42Shot by Foligno, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 4:47Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 5:10Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner
  59. P3 6:03Shot by Carrier, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 7:08Shot by Gionta, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 7:10Shot by Nelson, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 8:08Shot by Claesson, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 8:22Goal by Reinhart (Girgensons, Ristolainen)+29 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Ryan, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Claesson · BUF Gorges, Girgensons, Carrier, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  64. P3 8:21Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 8:48Shot by Foligno, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 8:55Shot by Okposo, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 9:46Kulikov: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone · BUF Ennis, Grant, Kulikov, Baptiste, Nelson

  68. P3 10:22Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehner5v4
  69. P3 11:24Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner5v4
  70. P3 13:14Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner5v4
  71. P3 15:28Shot by Reinhart, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 15:33Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 16:44Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 19:48Shot by Turris, saved by Lehner6v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final