Sat, Nov 5, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
49%
12%
10%
30%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:54 | 0.03 | 44.0% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:12 | 0.40 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.04 | 61.3% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:35 | 0.00 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:43 | 0.06 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.19 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.02 | 37.1% | +30.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:18 | 0.21 | 57.3% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.05 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:46 | 0.03 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:20 | 0.33 | 63.8% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:07 | 0.10 | 35.4% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.06 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.17 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.02 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.05 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 6:26 | 0.02 | 64.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.21 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29:00 | 0.17 | 44.6% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:15 | 0.05 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:27 | 0.02 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.17 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.02 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.18 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:10 | 0.25 | 38.9% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.20 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.09 | 47.0% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:20 | 0.48 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:10 | 0.02 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:47 | 0.01 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:29 | 0.01 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:44 | 0.00 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:31 | 0.39 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:35 | 0.03 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:58 | 0.10 | 93.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 1.78 | −0.2 | 59:01 |