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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 5, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moulson–Okposo–O'ReillyGionta–Foligno–LarssonEnnis–Girgensons–ReinhartGrant–Carrier–BaptisteOkposo–O'Reilly–FolignoGionta–Moulson–LarssonOkposo–Girgensons–ReinhartGorges–RistolainenFranson–McCabeKulikov–NelsonKulikov–RistolainenKulikov–McCabe
Ryan–Brassard–Stone1:010.05–0.001:160.00–0.033:140.15–0.061:330.12–0.180:520.00–0.040:410.10–0.003:270.20–0.225:010.22–0.052:340.00–0.041:080.05–0.00
Turris–Smith–Hoffman0:440.00–0.005:180.01–0.020:500.06–0.030:460.00–0.051:010.00–0.051:270.00–0.005:160.17–0.093:230.02–0.092:210.08–0.021:180.01–0.21
Kelly–Pyatt–Pageau6:040.33–0.150:550.00–0.010:590.00–0.001:330.25–0.004:000.08–0.102:230.00–0.140:460.01–0.06
Neil–Dzingel–Puempel0:380.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:450.00–0.002:180.41–0.000:490.00–0.042:040.00–0.00
Methot–Karlsson2:530.05–0.085:120.01–0.102:390.08–0.031:030.02–0.002:040.10–0.011:020.00–0.004:340.09–0.016:180.12–0.115:350.06–0.152:260.07–0.25
Phaneuf–Ceci6:210.33–0.140:440.00–0.000:490.00–0.011:290.03–0.182:390.00–0.070:390.00–0.005:100.28–0.275:060.09–0.202:570.03–0.030:450.00–0.02
Borowiecki–Claesson0:300.00–0.002:060.15–0.061:480.09–0.063:010.58–0.341:200.11–0.022:320.00–0.04
Methot–Ceci0:570.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Phaneuf–Karlsson0:420.00–0.041:020.00–0.04
Karlsson–Borowiecki0:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPyatt FKelly FPageau FTurris FHoffman FSmith FRyan FBrassard FStone FPuempel FNeil FDzingel FPhaneuf DCeci DMethot DKarlsson DClaesson DBorowiecki DAnderson GOkposo FMoulson FO'Reilly FGionta FLarsson FFoligno FReinhart FGirgensons FEnnis FGrant FBaptiste FCarrier FGorges DRistolainen DFranson DMcCabe DNelson DKulikov DLehner G
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3329:000:531:5573
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3125:540:501:1517
Marc MethotOTT3224:150:452:0463
Dion PhaneufOTT3222:270:421:4343
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2822:120:481:3246
Cody CeciOTT2921:520:451:4343
Jake McCabeBUF2820:350:441:4317
Dmitry KulikovBUF2520:350:491:2921
Derick BrassardOTT2220:340:561:2360
Kyle TurrisOTT2720:140:451:2566
Mark StoneOTT2219:510:541:2360
Josh GorgesBUF3019:430:391:1507
Cody FransonBUF2619:340:451:3127
Mike HoffmanOTT2318:100:471:5174
Zack SmithOTT2418:070:451:2564
Brian GiontaBUF2317:590:471:1314
Johan LarssonBUF2317:220:451:2807
Kyle OkposoBUF2217:180:471:2943
Matt MoulsonBUF1916:010:511:2944
Bobby RyanOTT2015:550:481:2370
Marcus FolignoBUF2115:460:451:1803
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2115:200:441:2542
Tom PyattOTT2014:100:431:1922
Sam ReinhartBUF1813:200:441:2431
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1813:070:441:1921
Casey NelsonBUF1913:060:411:2620
Derek GrantBUF1812:510:431:1722
Chris KellyOTT1912:470:401:2541
Ryan DzingelOTT1611:290:431:1011
Tyler EnnisBUF1611:040:421:1821
Nick BaptisteBUF1410:240:451:1640
Mark BorowieckiOTT189:440:320:4702
Chris NeilOTT139:310:441:3300
Fredrik ClaessonOTT168:350:320:4702
Matt PuempelOTT116:580:381:0500
William CarrierBUF116:260:351:0820