Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 17, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Nashville Predators 5, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 71% of the time.

OTT winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:25Shot by Weber, saved by Condon
  3. P1 1:51Shot by Neal, saved by Condon
  4. P1 2:13Shot by Watson, saved by Condon
  5. P1 2:14Goal by Sissons (Watson, Ekholm)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Karlsson, McCormick, Puempel · NSH Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Watson, Sissons

  6. P1 2:22Shot by McCormick, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 2:30Shot by Ekholm, saved by Condon
  8. P1 3:22Shot by Aberg, saved by Condon
  9. P1 3:56Shot by Forsberg, saved by Condon
  10. P1 5:42Fisher: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Turris, Borowiecki, Wideman, Dzingel · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Josi, Ellis, Aberg

  11. P1 7:11Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne5v4
  12. P1 8:36Goal by Brassard (Wideman, Stone)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Brassard, Karlsson, Wideman, Stone · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Arvidsson

  13. P1 10:09Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 10:27Shot by Stone, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 11:53Shot by Puempel, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 12:52Shot by Ellis, saved by Condon
  17. P1 13:00Shot by Josi, saved by Condon
  18. P1 13:04Shot by Watson, saved by Condon
  19. P1 13:14Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Condon
  20. P1 13:21Shot by Johansen, saved by Condon
  21. P1 13:39Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Condon
  22. P1 14:25Shot by Irwin, saved by Condon
  23. P1 15:34Goal by Ellis (Ribeiro, Forsberg)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Puempel · NSH Ribeiro, Josi, Ellis, Smith, Forsberg

  24. P1 16:46Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 18:42Shot by Watson, saved by Condon
  26. P1 19:02Phaneuf: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Stone, Pageau, Ceci · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson

  27. P1 19:02Neal: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Brassard, Stone, Pageau, Ceci · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson

  28. P1 19:47Shot by Johansen, saved by Condon4v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:12Shot by Wilson, saved by Condon4v4
  32. P2 0:26Shot by Josi, saved by Condon4v4
  33. P2 0:34Shot by Josi, saved by Condon4v4
  34. P2 1:09Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 1:28Shot by Pageau, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 2:10Puempel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Turris, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Puempel · NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Watson

  37. P2 5:04Shot by Subban, saved by Condon
  38. P2 6:01Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Condon
  39. P2 6:34Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Condon
  40. P2 6:37Johansen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Pyatt, Brassard, Karlsson, Stone · NSH Neal, Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Arvidsson

  41. P2 7:48Shot by Ellis, saved by Condon5v4
  42. P2 8:37Stone: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Methot, Brassard, Borowiecki, Stone, Pageau · NSH Neal, Josi, Ellis, Jarnkrok

  43. P2 9:22Smith: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau · NSH Fisher, Neal, Josi, Ekholm, Johansen

  44. P2 9:22Johansen: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau · NSH Fisher, Neal, Josi, Ekholm, Johansen

  45. P2 9:55Shot by Subban, saved by Condon4v5
  46. P2 10:23Shot by Smith, saved by Condon4v5
  47. P2 11:17Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne
  48. P2 11:48Shot by Methot, saved by Rinne
  49. P2 11:55Shot by McCormick, saved by Rinne
  50. P2 12:11Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rinne
  51. P2 12:21Shot by Methot, saved by Rinne
  52. P2 12:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Rinne
  53. P2 13:13Shot by Johansen, saved by Condon
  54. P2 13:14Shot by Johansen, saved by Condon
  55. P2 13:15Shot by Neal, saved by Condon
  56. P2 13:16Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Karlsson, Wideman, Stone, Pageau · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson

  57. P2 13:16Johansen: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Karlsson, Wideman, Stone, Pageau · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson

  58. P2 13:16Smith: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Karlsson, Wideman, Stone, Pageau · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson

  59. P2 13:24Forsberg: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Kelly, Phaneuf, Pyatt, Ceci · NSH Fisher, Neal, Josi, Ekholm, Forsberg

  60. P2 13:41Shot by Turris, saved by Rinne4v4
  61. P2 14:35Shot by Subban, saved by Condon4v4
  62. P2 15:01Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne4v4
  63. P2 16:24Shot by Josi, saved by Condon
  64. P2 17:10Goal by Aberg (Fisher, Wilson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Kelly, Borowiecki, Wideman, McCormick · NSH Fisher, Wilson, Josi, Ellis, Aberg

  65. P2 17:28Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne
  66. P2 17:45Shot by Subban, saved by Condon
  67. P2 18:15Shot by Johansen, saved by Condon
  68. P2 19:04Shot by Turris, saved by Rinne
  69. P2 19:09Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Rinne
  70. P2 19:39Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rinne
  71. P2 19:40Neal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Turris, Smith, Ceci · NSH Neal, Weber, Irwin, Johansen, Arvidsson

  72. P2 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Period start
  74. P3 1:13Shot by Turris, saved by Rinne5v4
  75. P3 3:56Shot by McCormick, saved by Rinne
  76. P3 4:05Shot by Methot, saved by Rinne
  77. P3 4:07Aberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Brassard, Wideman, McCormick, Puempel · NSH Fisher, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Aberg

  78. P3 4:34Shot by Brassard, saved by Rinne5v4
  79. P3 5:02Shot by Wideman, saved by Rinne5v4
  80. P3 7:23Shot by Ellis, saved by Condon
  81. P3 7:31Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  82. P3 8:04Shot by Ekholm, saved by Condon
  83. P3 9:02Shot by Kelly, saved by Rinne
  84. P3 9:54Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Condon
  85. P3 10:22Goal by Neal (Subban, Johansen)+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Smith, Karlsson, Wideman, Stone, Pageau · NSH Neal, Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson

  86. P3 12:35Borowiecki: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Borowiecki, Wideman, McCormick, Puempel · NSH Weber, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Watson, Sissons

  87. P3 13:10Shot by Ekholm, saved by Condon4v5
  88. P3 14:36Goal by Ribeiro (Subban, Smith)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Ceci · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Ellis, Smith, Forsberg

  89. P3 15:16Shot by Methot, saved by Rinne
  90. P3 16:54Shot by Smith, saved by Rinne
  91. P3 16:54Shot by Dzingel, saved by Rinne
  92. P3 0:00Period end
  93. P3 0:00Final