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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 17, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Nashville Predators 5, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 71% of the time.

OTT winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Neal–Johansen–ArvidssonFisher–Wilson–AbergRibeiro–Smith–ForsbergJarnkrok–Watson–SissonsSubban–EkholmJosi–EllisWeber–Irwin
Brassard–Stone–Pageau1:200.11–0.080:450.00–0.070:340.00–0.152:120.02–0.151:120.04–0.38
Neil–McCormick–Puempel0:440.15–0.000:470.00–0.001:220.06–0.500:510.06–0.031:070.15–0.441:240.00–0.02
Kelly–Pyatt–Smith0:390.00–0.000:370.01–0.001:000.00–0.001:240.01–0.04
Ryan–Turris–Dzingel0:330.00–0.031:380.00–0.030:340.00–0.032:140.00–0.03
Smith–Stone–Pageau1:460.13–0.711:250.05–0.70
Neil–Kelly–McCormick1:220.03–0.040:310.00–0.070:430.03–0.041:070.00–0.07
Kelly–McCormick–Puempel0:450.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Turris–Dzingel–Puempel0:410.02–0.000:570.02–0.00
Brassard–Stone–Puempel0:300.00–0.000:340.03–0.00
Pyatt–Brassard–Puempel0:400.06–0.020:370.02–0.011:170.08–0.04
Brassard–Turris–Dzingel1:040.00–0.000:590.00–0.00
Pyatt–Brassard–Stone0:520.00–0.150:520.00–0.15
Stone–Dzingel–Pageau1:030.06–0.031:030.06–0.03
Brassard–Stone–Dzingel0:520.03–0.001:020.03–0.00
Phaneuf–Ceci3:370.04–0.230:590.00–0.002:090.02–0.081:250.04–0.004:380.07–0.214:170.06–0.111:030.02–0.00
Methot–Karlsson1:430.11–0.142:370.21–0.031:180.00–0.041:000.00–0.541:550.02–0.003:350.25–0.623:220.03–0.10
Borowiecki–Wideman2:120.19–0.041:380.03–0.040:490.00–0.002:350.09–0.053:020.15–0.071:350.03–0.043:190.02–0.03
Borowiecki–Ceci1:200.02–0.000:400.00–0.030:370.00–0.001:030.02–0.03
Methot–Borowiecki1:590.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:100.01–0.00
Phaneuf–Karlsson0:410.00–0.000:340.00–0.150:480.00–0.001:160.00–0.38
Karlsson–Borowiecki0:480.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:400.06–0.00
Methot–Wideman1:010.24–0.000:370.01–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTurris FRyan FDzingel FPyatt FSmith FKelly FBrassard FPageau FStone FNeil FPuempel FMcCormick FKarlsson DBorowiecki DPhaneuf DCeci DMethot DWideman DCondon GFisher FWilson FAberg FSmith FForsberg FRibeiro FNeal FArvidsson FJohansen FSissons FWatson FJarnkrok FEllis DJosi DWeber DIrwin DEkholm DSubban DRinne G
OTTNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3625:150:421:4484
Roman JosiNSH2924:300:511:4745
Mattias EkholmNSH2723:460:532:2166
P.K. SubbanNSH2523:310:562:1245
Ryan EllisNSH3122:570:441:2015
Cody CeciOTT3322:080:401:1329
Dion PhaneufOTT3221:070:401:1539
Mark StoneOTT2320:340:541:3154
Derick BrassardOTT2219:270:531:4562
Kyle TurrisOTT2419:080:481:3330
Chris WidemanOTT2518:570:451:5840
Ryan JohansenNSH2117:470:511:5372
James NealNSH1917:430:562:0952
Filip ForsbergNSH2417:420:441:2034
Ryan DzingelOTT2517:160:411:1831
Marc MethotOTT3117:020:331:1513
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2016:280:491:5342
Mark BorowieckiOTT2615:440:361:1020
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2215:370:431:2326
Mike RibeiroNSH1714:370:521:3510
Mike FisherNSH2214:230:391:1543
Matt PuempelOTT2113:350:391:0440
Chris KellyOTT1913:340:431:1416
Zack SmithOTT1913:020:411:2021
Calle JarnkrokNSH1912:510:411:0628
Tom PyattOTT2212:480:351:0014
Matt IrwinNSH1612:460:481:5321
Craig SmithNSH1512:370:501:2011
Yannick WeberNSH1712:300:441:5321
Pontus AbergNSH1611:070:421:0712
Austin WatsonNSH1611:020:411:1302
Colin WilsonNSH1510:540:441:1602
Chris NeilOTT1810:040:341:0322
Max McCormickOTT189:560:330:4931
Colton SissonsNSH159:550:401:0302
Bobby RyanOTT54:460:571:1900