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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 29, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Dallas Stars 1, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Dallas Stars

1

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 75% of the time.

DET winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Seguin, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 0:16Goal by Lindell (Seguin, Eakin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Abdelkader, Glendening, DeKeyser · DAL Benn, Benn, Eakin, Seguin, Lindell

  4. P1 3:43Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 3:53Shot by Eaves, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 5:43Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 6:37Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lehtonen
  8. P1 6:41Shot by Tatar, saved by Lehtonen
  9. P1 9:47Sproul: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Sproul, Glendening · DAL Benn, Benn, Eakin, Seguin, Lindell

  10. P1 10:31Shot by Seguin, saved by Mrazek4v5
  11. P1 11:53Shot by Honka, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 12:17Shot by Eakin, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 16:08Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 16:36Shot by Faksa, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 16:44Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 16:53Shot by McKenzie, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 19:15Johns: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Vanek, Green, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Larkin · DAL Korpikoski, McKenzie, Johns, Oleksiak, Shore

  18. P1 19:21Goal by Larkin (Green, Nielsen)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, Larkin · DAL Benn, Roussel, Faksa, Lindell

  19. P1 19:47Shot by Green, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:29Shot by Nielsen, saved by Lehtonen
  23. P2 0:42Shot by Ritchie, saved by Mrazek
  24. P2 1:53Shot by Green, saved by Lehtonen
  25. P2 3:42Shot by Vanek, saved by Lehtonen
  26. P2 4:30Shot by McKenzie, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 6:06Shot by Ouellet, saved by Lehtonen
  28. P2 6:16Shot by Ott, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P2 6:19Benn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, Larkin · DAL Benn, Roussel, Ritchie, Faksa, Lindell

  30. P2 6:34Shot by Larkin, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  31. P2 7:56Goal by Mantha (Zetterberg, Kronwall)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Tatar, Sproul, Mantha · DAL Benn, Eakin, Oleksiak, Lindell

  32. P2 10:29Shot by Ritchie, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 10:37Shot by Sharp, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 10:39Kronwall: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Vanek, Nyquist, Ouellet, Larkin · DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Sharp, Eaves, Honka

  35. P2 11:19Shot by Benn, saved by Mrazek4v5
  36. P2 11:47Shot by Seguin, saved by Mrazek4v5
  37. P2 13:21Shot by Jurco, saved by Lehtonen
  38. P2 13:50Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 14:26Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 16:02Shot by Ritchie, saved by Mrazek
  41. P2 16:26McKenzie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ott, Ericsson, Tatar, Ouellet · DAL Benn, Benn, Eakin, McKenzie, Lindell

  42. P2 18:11Shot by Green, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  43. P2 18:29Shot by Sharp, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:48Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P3 2:11Shot by Sharp, saved by Mrazek
  48. P3 2:13Shot by Eaves, saved by Mrazek
  49. P3 4:04Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Mrazek
  50. P3 4:07Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Mrazek
  51. P3 4:27Tatar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Tatar, Jurco, Sproul · DAL Spezza, Sharp, Eaves, Johns, Oleksiak

  52. P3 7:43Shot by Glendening, saved by Lehtonen
  53. P3 8:02Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Mrazek
  54. P3 8:09Spezza: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Tatar, Ouellet, Mantha · DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Sharp, Eaves, Honka

  55. P3 11:26Ericsson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ott, Ericsson, Ouellet, Mantha · DAL Spezza, Sharp, Eaves, Johns, Oleksiak

  56. P3 11:52Shot by Seguin, saved by Mrazek4v5
  57. P3 12:12Shot by Seguin, saved by Mrazek4v5
  58. P3 12:40Ott: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Ott, Green, Glendening, DeKeyser · DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Honka

  59. P3 13:05Shot by Spezza, saved by Mrazek3v5
  60. P3 13:23Shot by Spezza, saved by Mrazek3v5
  61. P3 14:15Shot by Shore, saved by Mrazek4v5
  62. P3 14:21Shot by Sharp, saved by Mrazek4v5
  63. P3 14:30Shot by Benn, saved by Mrazek4v5
  64. P3 14:37Shot by Roussel, saved by Mrazek4v5
  65. P3 14:37Roussel: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Ouellet · DAL Sharp, Benn, Roussel, Ritchie, Shore

  66. P3 14:37Ouellet: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Ouellet · DAL Sharp, Benn, Roussel, Ritchie, Shore

  67. P3 15:03Shot by Johns, saved by Mrazek
  68. P3 15:51Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 16:04Shot by Honka, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 16:13Sharp: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Ericsson, Vanek, Nyquist · DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Sharp, Seguin, Honka

  71. P3 16:13Mrazek: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Ericsson, Vanek, Nyquist · DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Sharp, Seguin, Honka

  72. P3 18:57Goal by Ott (Vanek)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ott, Kronwall, Vanek, Green, Sheahan · DAL Spezza, Sharp, Eaves, Seguin, Shore, Honka

  73. P3 19:24Shot by Ritchie, saved by Mrazek
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final