Sat, Dec 3, 2016·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Arizona Coyotes 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 112 | 015 | 123 | 010 | 2 | 360 |
| ARI | 05 | 218 | 04 | 07 | 0 | 234 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:13CBJBoone JennerAssists: Jack Johnson, David Savard · Wrist, 0.07 xG1–0
- P2 1:03ARIRadim VrbataPPAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Tony DeAngelo · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 11:04ARIShane DoanAssists: Michael Stone · Tip-in, 0.07 xG1–2
- P3 17:44CBJAlexander WennbergAssists: Brandon Saad, Nick Foligno · Backhand, 0.09 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. ARI Anthony Duclair stopped
- 2. CBJ Cam Atkinson scored
- 3. ARI Radim Vrbata stopped
- 4. CBJ Sam Gagner scored
Penalties (15)
- P1 5:38ARIChristian Dvorak: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:10CBJJosh Anderson: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 14:38CBJNick Foligno: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 15:16ARIMike Smith: Delaying game illegal play by goalie2 min
- P1 19:00CBJNick Foligno: Hooking2 min
- P1 19:02ARIMax Domi: Slashing2 min
- P2 0:28CBJBrandon Saad: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 8:55CBJJosh Anderson: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 3:44ARIAnthony Duclair: Tripping2 min
- P3 10:16ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Slashing2 min
- P3 10:51ARIAlex Goligoski: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:46ARILawson Crouse: Roughing2 min
- P3 12:46CBJBoone Jenner: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:58ARIMartin Hanzal: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:58CBJDavid Savard: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Dubinsky won the faceoff against Martinook
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestFoligno – Saad – Wennberg13:12
xG 0.79–0.09 (89%)attempts 23–6goals 1–0
- Dubinsky – Atkinson – Jenner8:55
xG 0.76–0.11 (87%)attempts 22–9goals 1–0
- Hartnell – Karlsson – Anderson8:11
xG 0.19–0.22 (46%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Gagner – Calvert – Sedlak6:32
xG 0.22–0.48 (31%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Savard13:50
xG 0.84–0.27 (76%)attempts 19–10goals 1–1
- Jones – Werenski15:00
xG 0.61–0.43 (59%)attempts 23–12goals 1–0
- Murray – Nutivaara10:31
xG 0.43–0.48 (47%)attempts 20–16goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMartinook – Duclair – Domi6:20
xG 0.29–0.20 (59%)attempts 5–8goals 0–0
- Vrbata – Hanzal – Domi3:56
xG 0.12–0.07 (66%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- McGinn – White – Gaudet7:06
xG 0.22–0.29 (43%)attempts 7–9goals 0–0
- Doan – Rieder – Martinook2:00
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Stone – Connauton10:31
xG 0.38–0.50 (43%)attempts 13–12goals 0–1
- Goligoski – DeAngelo11:05
xG 0.48–0.61 (44%)attempts 17–25goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Murphy16:34
xG 0.14–0.77 (15%)attempts 6–24goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).