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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 6, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 4

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 61% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:55Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:57Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:05Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 2:52Shot by Fisher, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 4:32Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 4:30Shot by Fiala, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 6:28Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 7:58Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 8:42Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 9:52Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 9:55Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 10:08Goal by Arvidsson, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson · COL Mitchell, Goloubef, Duchene, Barrie, Rantanen

  14. P1 11:24Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 11:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 12:08Goal by MacKinnon (Bourque)+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Gaudreau, Fiala · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Bourque, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  17. P1 13:21Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 13:47Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 14:22Goloubef: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Josi, Smith, Irwin, Johansen, Arvidsson · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Bourque, Goloubef, MacKinnon

  20. P1 15:46Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov5v4
  21. P1 16:23Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 17:06Shot by Watson, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 18:17Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 18:26Goal by Neal (Wilson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Wilson, Josi, Ekholm · COL Beauchemin, Bourque, Goloubef, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  25. P1 19:00Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:01Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 1:44Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 2:24Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 2:38Weber: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Jarnkrok, Watson, Granberg, Gaudreau · COL McLeod, Colborne, Wiercioch, Gelinas, Martinsen

  32. P2 3:46Goal by Duchene (Rantanen, MacKinnon)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Arvidsson · COL Beauchemin, Wiercioch, Duchene, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  33. P2 5:07Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 5:59Goal by Subban (Fiala, Ribeiro)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Ekholm, Forsberg, Fiala · COL Iginla, Soderberg, Wiercioch, Gelinas, Grigorenko

  35. P2 7:07Shot by Irwin, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 8:53Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 9:48Barrie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Fiala, Arvidsson · COL Iginla, Soderberg, Barrie, Grigorenko, Zadorov

  38. P2 10:23Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov5v4
  39. P2 13:04Irwin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Wilson, Josi, Irwin · COL Comeau, Bourque, Barrie, MacKinnon, Zadorov

  40. P2 13:12Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne4v5
  41. P2 13:55Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne4v5
  42. P2 13:56Goal by Duchene (Iginla, Barrie)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Josi, Granberg, Forsberg · COL Iginla, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  43. P2 14:34Shot by Fiala, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 16:31Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 17:07Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov
  46. P2 19:17Beauchemin: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Forsberg · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Soderberg, Goloubef, Grigorenko

  47. P2 19:17Goloubef: Holding (2 min)6v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm, Forsberg · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Soderberg, Goloubef, Grigorenko

  48. P2 19:52Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov5v3
  49. P2 19:57Shot by Subban, saved by Varlamov5v3
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:48Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov5v3
  53. P3 1:04Goal by Josi (Johansen, Ribeiro)5v3+30 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg · COL Comeau, Wiercioch, Duchene

  54. P3 2:38Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 3:12Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 3:19Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 4:47Shot by Colborne, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 5:36Shot by Fiala, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 6:30Shot by Gelinas, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 8:37Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 10:05Watson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Josi, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Watson · COL Comeau, Bourque, Wiercioch, Gelinas, MacKinnon

  62. P3 10:51Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne4v5
  63. P3 11:12Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne4v5
  64. P3 11:55Beauchemin: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Josi, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Forsberg · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Bourque, Wiercioch, Grigorenko

  65. P3 11:51Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne4v5
  66. P3 14:37Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 15:44Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 16:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 17:25Shot by Ekholm, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 17:32Shot by Bourque, saved by Rinne
  71. P3 18:27Johansen: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Josi, Irwin, Watson, Johansen, Forsberg · COL Iginla, Bourque, Duchene, Barrie, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  72. P3 19:36Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Rinne4v6
  73. P3 19:53Shot by Rantanen, saved by Rinne4v5
  74. P3 19:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne4v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final