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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 8, 2016·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 2, Dallas Stars 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 53% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Pardy, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 3:32Shot by Roussel, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 3:33Josi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Roussel, Nemeth, Ritchie, Oleksiak, Faksa · NSH Fisher, Neal, Subban, Wilson, Josi

  5. P1 3:33Roussel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Roussel, Nemeth, Ritchie, Oleksiak, Faksa · NSH Fisher, Neal, Subban, Wilson, Josi

  6. P1 5:15Shot by Eaves, saved by Rinne4v4
  7. P1 5:47Shot by Faksa, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 5:45Shot by Faksa, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 5:50Shot by Cracknell, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 5:58Shot by Cracknell, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 6:22Shot by Smith, saved by Lehtonen
  12. P1 6:34Shot by Johansen, saved by Lehtonen
  13. P1 6:40Shot by Josi, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 7:43Shot by Ritchie, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 8:48Shot by Shore, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 9:55Goal by Benn (Seguin, Spezza)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Benn, Nemeth, Seguin, Oleksiak · NSH Fisher, Neal, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm

  17. P1 10:18Goal by Ritchie (Roussel, Faksa)+11 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Roussel, Klingberg, Ritchie, Faksa, Lindell · NSH Josi, Smith, Irwin, Johansen, Arvidsson

  18. P1 10:40Shot by Cracknell, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 10:40Rinne: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cracknell, McKenzie, Nemeth, Oleksiak, Shore · NSH Josi, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Watson, Gaudreau

  20. P1 13:46Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 14:48Fisher: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg, Lindell · NSH Fisher, Neal, Subban, Wilson, Ekholm

  22. P1 15:33Shot by Seguin, saved by Rinne5v4
  23. P1 16:03Goal by Arvidsson (Watson)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · NSH Josi, Irwin, Watson, Arvidsson

  24. P1 16:57Shot by Cracknell, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 19:34Shot by Ritchie, saved by Rinne
  26. P1 19:59Shot by Ritchie, saved by Rinne
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:39Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehtonen
  30. P2 0:41Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen
  31. P2 1:11Shot by Ritchie, saved by Rinne
  32. P2 2:33Shot by Watson, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 2:42Shot by Watson, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 3:03Shot by Subban, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 3:27Goal by Spezza (Hamhuis, Benn)+12 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson

  36. P2 3:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 3:32Roussel: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Roussel, Klingberg, Ritchie, Faksa, Lindell · NSH Ribeiro, Josi, Irwin, Forsberg, Fiala

  38. P2 3:55Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  39. P2 4:39Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  40. P2 5:47Goal by Roussel (Korpikoski, Klingberg)+6 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Korpikoski, Roussel, Nemeth, Klingberg, Faksa · NSH Neal, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Forsberg

  41. P2 7:05Shot by McKenzie, saved by Mazanec
  42. P2 7:21Shot by Klingberg, saved by Mazanec
  43. P2 8:12Shot by Johns, saved by Mazanec
  44. P2 8:16Shot by Eaves, saved by Mazanec
  45. P2 8:32Shot by Eaves, saved by Mazanec
  46. P2 8:49Shot by Josi, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 9:22Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P2 9:27Shot by Josi, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P2 9:37Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen
  50. P2 9:56Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen
  51. P2 10:06Seguin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Hamhuis, Benn, Johns, Seguin · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Johansen, Arvidsson

  52. P2 11:02Shot by Benn, saved by Mazanec4v5
  53. P2 12:13Nemeth: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Roussel, Johns, Nemeth, Seguin, Faksa · NSH Ribeiro, Subban, Josi, Watson, Gaudreau

  54. P2 13:06Shot by Forsberg, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  55. P2 15:55Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lehtonen
  56. P2 16:12Shot by Lindell, saved by Mazanec
  57. P2 16:45Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehtonen
  58. P2 17:02Shot by Ekholm, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P2 17:10Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Lehtonen
  60. P2 18:46Shot by Wilson, saved by Lehtonen
  61. P2 18:58Shot by Roussel, saved by Mazanec
  62. P2 19:00Pardy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Roussel, Klingberg, Ritchie, Faksa, Lindell · NSH Fisher, Pardy, Neal, Weber, Wilson

  63. P2 19:16Goal by Seguin (Benn, Spezza)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · NSH Fisher, Subban, Ekholm, Watson

  64. P2 19:48Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P2 19:50Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P2 19:59Shot by Cracknell, saved by Mazanec
  67. P2 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Period start
  69. P3 1:51Shot by Johns, saved by Mazanec
  70. P3 2:42Shot by Lindell, saved by Mazanec
  71. P3 4:26Josi: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Cracknell, McKenzie, Oleksiak, Shore · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Forsberg, Fiala

  72. P3 5:48Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Mazanec5v4
  73. P3 6:00Shot by Hamhuis, saved by Mazanec5v4
  74. P3 6:12Shot by Ritchie, saved by Mazanec5v4
  75. P3 6:25Shot by Cracknell, saved by Mazanec5v4
  76. P3 7:08Shot by Subban, saved by Lehtonen
  77. P3 8:49Shot by Josi, saved by Lehtonen
  78. P3 8:52Shot by Subban, saved by Lehtonen
  79. P3 9:02Shot by Spezza, saved by Mazanec
  80. P3 10:07Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lehtonen
  81. P3 10:14Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lehtonen
  82. P3 12:00Weber: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hamhuis, Roussel, Johns, Ritchie, Faksa · NSH Fisher, Pardy, Neal, Weber, Wilson

  83. P3 15:09Goal by Jarnkrok (Ribeiro, Mazanec)0 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Korpikoski, Nemeth, Oleksiak, Dickinson · NSH Ribeiro, Pardy, Irwin, Jarnkrok, Gaudreau

  84. P3 16:11Shot by Spezza, saved by Mazanec
  85. P3 16:47Shot by Pardy, saved by Lehtonen
  86. P3 16:49Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Lehtonen
  87. P3 17:45Shot by Korpikoski, saved by Mazanec
  88. P3 19:40Shot by Subban, saved by Lehtonen
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00McKenzie: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cracknell, McKenzie, Nemeth, Oleksiak, Shore · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Gaudreau

  91. P3 0:00Final