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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 8, 2016·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 2, Dallas Stars 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 53% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Johansen–ArvidssonFisher–Neal–WilsonJarnkrok–Watson–GaudreauRibeiro–Forsberg–FialaSmith–Jarnkrok–WatsonSubban–EkholmJosi–IrwinPardy–WeberSubban–Weber
Spezza–Benn–Seguin4:520.22–0.201:590.13–0.001:400.00–0.130:480.04–0.007:570.36–0.221:370.00–0.110:330.04–0.00
Cracknell–McKenzie–Shore1:110.00–0.180:440.00–0.003:390.10–0.032:050.14–0.050:370.02–0.002:080.02–0.023:050.10–0.013:420.14–0.24
Roussel–Ritchie–Faksa2:220.13–0.002:220.25–0.011:400.07–0.042:050.08–0.040:520.00–0.005:500.29–0.042:160.14–0.05
Eaves–Korpikoski–Dickinson1:060.04–0.002:010.06–0.002:280.00–0.531:440.06–0.082:130.07–0.073:230.06–0.352:260.02–0.23
Klingberg–Lindell3:020.10–0.002:320.18–0.011:240.06–0.264:450.22–0.170:370.02–0.003:420.02–0.025:150.18–0.164:100.32–0.280:520.06–0.02
Nemeth–Oleksiak2:310.05–0.372:440.40–0.004:510.17–0.310:400.00–0.000:450.04–0.004:260.36–0.094:500.17–0.043:190.01–0.42
Hamhuis–Johns4:190.03–0.183:250.06–0.001:100.00–0.251:390.00–0.085:220.07–0.203:440.03–0.312:000.02–0.00
Nemeth–Klingberg0:500.00–0.040:370.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBenn FSpezza FSeguin FFaksa FRoussel FRitchie FMcKenzie FShore FCracknell FDickinson FEaves FKorpikoski FHamhuis DJohns DKlingberg DLindell DOleksiak DNemeth DLehtonen GFisher FNeal FWilson FArvidsson FSmith FJohansen FJarnkrok FGaudreau FWatson FRibeiro FForsberg FFiala FEkholm DSubban DIrwin DJosi DPardy DWeber DRinne GMazanec G
DALNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

P.K. SubbanNSH3127:110:531:3745
Mattias EkholmNSH2923:150:481:4225
Esa LindellDAL3022:470:461:5028
John KlingbergDAL3022:280:451:1836
Roman JosiNSH3020:570:421:2281
Jamie OleksiakDAL2719:310:431:2467
Matt IrwinNSH2618:340:431:0861
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2818:330:401:1462
Dan HamhuisDAL2717:580:401:2342
Jamie BennDAL2617:560:411:2139
Tyler SeguinDAL2417:430:441:2138
Ryan JohansenNSH2517:420:421:3452
Patrik NemethDAL2317:010:442:2562
Stephen JohnsDAL2316:570:441:2543
Calle JarnkrokNSH2316:150:421:3217
Jason SpezzaDAL2416:130:411:2738
Mike FisherNSH2116:070:461:3344
Filip ForsbergNSH2515:540:381:2271
Austin WatsonNSH2215:450:431:3516
Radek FaksaDAL2615:420:361:0154
Adam CracknellDAL2315:210:401:2542
Craig SmithNSH2314:520:391:2561
Curtis McKenzieDAL2414:320:361:2532
Antoine RousselDAL2614:190:331:1344
Patrick EavesDAL2013:500:421:1760
Yannick WeberNSH2013:500:421:5102
Lauri KorpikoskiDAL2213:400:371:2763
Devin ShoreDAL2213:290:371:1541
Mike RibeiroNSH2213:160:361:3260
Colin WilsonNSH1913:150:421:3353
James NealNSH1712:590:461:3354
Brett RitchieDAL2112:250:351:1742
Adam PardyNSH1611:140:421:3312
Frederick GaudreauNSH1910:570:351:3815
Jason DickinsonDAL1710:080:361:3352
Kevin FialaNSH189:120:311:0460