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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 14, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Calgary Flames 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 82% of the time.

CGY winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:09Shot by Engelland, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 2:47Shot by Stajan, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 2:49Vermin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Stajan, Bouma, Brodie, Ferland · TBL Stralman, Hedman, Brown, Paquette, Vermin

  5. P1 3:06Goal by Brouwer (Monahan, Brodie)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · TBL Filppula, Garrison, Palat, Sustr

  6. P1 3:35Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 4:37Bennett: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Brodie, Chiasson, Gaudreau, Bennett · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Namestnikov, Koekkoek, Point

  8. P1 4:37Namestnikov: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Brodie, Chiasson, Gaudreau, Bennett · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Namestnikov, Koekkoek, Point

  9. P1 6:32Shot by Drouin, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 7:20Johnson: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Monahan, Tkachuk · TBL Stralman, Johnson, Hedman, Conacher, Palat

  11. P1 8:48Hamilton: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Garrison, Palat

  12. P1 8:48Hamilton: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Garrison, Palat

  13. P1 10:04Goal by Boyle (Hedman, Johnson)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Engelland, Stajan, Giordano, Brouwer · TBL Boyle, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Point

  14. P1 10:38Shot by Drouin, saved by Johnson4v5
  15. P1 12:53Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 13:42Goal by Boyle (Filppula, Hedman)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Gaudreau · TBL Filppula, Boyle, Stralman, Hedman, Drouin

  17. P1 14:01Shot by Boyle, saved by Johnson
  18. P1 14:29Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Johnson
  19. P1 15:22Shot by Ferland, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 15:39Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Johnson
  21. P1 15:44Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Johnson
  22. P1 17:46Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson
  23. P1 18:13Shot by Hamilton, saved by Bishop
  24. P1 19:18Ferland: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Bouma, Brodie, Ferland, Gaudreau, Hamilton · TBL Filppula, Garrison, Sustr, Vermin, Drouin

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:19Shot by Conacher, saved by Johnson
  28. P2 1:28Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop
  29. P2 1:42Shot by Sustr, saved by Johnson
  30. P2 3:08Shot by Filppula, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 3:15Shot by Palat, saved by Johnson
  32. P2 3:21Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  33. P2 4:31Shot by Point, saved by Johnson
  34. P2 4:40Goal by Coburn (Killorn, Namestnikov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Stajan, Giordano, Frolik, Hamilton, Tkachuk · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Namestnikov, Koekkoek, Point

  35. P2 5:38Shot by Wideman, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 5:46Shot by Conacher, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 5:47Shot by Conacher, saved by Johnson
  38. P2 6:04Shot by Engelland, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 9:00Giordano: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Frolik, Backlund, Hamilton, Tkachuk · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Conacher, Drouin

  40. P2 9:26Shot by Conacher, saved by Johnson4v5
  41. P2 10:56Shot by Brodie, saved by Bishop4v5
  42. P2 12:21Shot by Versteeg, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 14:03Shot by Jokipakka, saved by Bishop
  44. P2 14:03Tkachuk: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Frolik, Backlund, Jokipakka, Tkachuk · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Johnson, Conacher, Koekkoek

  45. P2 14:03Bishop: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Frolik, Backlund, Jokipakka, Tkachuk · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Johnson, Conacher, Koekkoek

  46. P2 14:03Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Frolik, Backlund, Jokipakka, Tkachuk · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Johnson, Conacher, Koekkoek

  47. P2 15:45Shot by Drouin, saved by Johnson4v5
  48. P2 16:48Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 17:58Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop
  50. P2 18:47Goal by Sustr (Filppula, Hedman)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Frolik, Backlund, Brodie, Ferland · TBL Filppula, Boyle, Hedman, Sustr, Drouin

  51. P2 19:04Sustr: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Chiasson, Gaudreau, Hamilton, Bennett · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Conacher, Palat, Sustr

  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:10Shot by Johnson, saved by Elliott5v4
  55. P3 0:35Shot by Killorn, saved by Elliott5v4
  56. P3 0:37Goal by Killorn, unassisted5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Killorn, Garrison

  57. P3 0:46Shot by Brown, saved by Elliott5v4
  58. P3 0:57Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop5v4
  59. P3 1:59Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Elliott
  60. P3 2:23Shot by Killorn, saved by Elliott
  61. P3 2:59Paquette: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Stajan, Bouma, Brodie, Ferland, Gaudreau · TBL Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr, Vermin

  62. P3 3:59Goal by Brodie (Gaudreau, Brouwer)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Versteeg, Brouwer, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman

  63. P3 4:20Goal by Ferland (Stajan, Bouma)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Wideman, Stajan, Bouma, Brodie, Ferland · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Boyle, Garrison, Drouin

  64. P3 5:19Shot by Bennett, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 8:02Shot by Paquette, saved by Elliott
  66. P3 9:54Shot by Killorn, saved by Elliott
  67. P3 10:06Shot by Drouin, saved by Elliott
  68. P3 10:29Shot by Filppula, saved by Elliott
  69. P3 10:30Shot by Boyle, saved by Elliott
  70. P3 12:20Shot by Chiasson, saved by Bishop
  71. P3 12:37Shot by Johnson, saved by Elliott
  72. P3 16:16Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 18:19Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop6v5
  74. P3 19:15Goal by Killorn (Filppula)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Giordano, Versteeg, Brouwer, Hamilton, Monahan, Bennett · TBL Filppula, Coburn, Boyle, Killorn, Garrison

  75. P3 19:24Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Elliott
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final