Wed, Dec 14, 2016·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 82% of the time.
11%
76%
CGY winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 0 | 28:20 | 0.08 | 50.7% | +39.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:11 | 0.04 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 20:25 | 1.26 | 71.2% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:10 | 0.43 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 19:09 | 0.69 | 63.1% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:49 | 0.09 | 57.8% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.06 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.02 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.04 | 63.4% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.14 | 64.6% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.07 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:32 | 0.33 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.15 | 73.4% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.04 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.06 | 52.3% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.05 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:08 | 0.00 | 67.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 1.63 | −1.4 | 59:57 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:27 | 0.05 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.13 | 40.9% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.17 | 40.4% | +1.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:52 | 0.03 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.03 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.10 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:18 | 0.31 | 56.6% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.16 | 32.7% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.03 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.06 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.11 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.10 | 64.8% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:48 | 0.12 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.17 | 72.1% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 79.7% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.06 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
| – | 13 | 12 | 1 | .923 | 1.05 | 0.0 | 18:38 | |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 1.77 | −2.2 | 39:57 |