Mon, Dec 19, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Anaheim Ducks 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
9%
37%
TOR winsANA wins
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:02 | 0.02 | 51.7% | +29.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 26:18 | 0.16 | 36.7% | +65.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:18 | 0.14 | 88.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.15 | 84.9% | +35.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:59 | 0.37 | 39.4% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 0.31 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.04 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.20 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:41 | 0.28 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.03 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.08 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.04 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:00 | 0.29 | 76.5% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 9:47 | 0.25 | 76.5% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:16 | 0.01 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:29 | 0.05 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:16 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 2.64 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:26 | 0.16 | 55.5% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:15 | 0.10 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 21:22 | 0.75 | 49.0% | +23.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.17 | 59.2% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:25 | 0.00 | 17.5% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.32 | 41.4% | +23.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.06 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.04 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:40 | 0.16 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.28 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:35 | 0.18 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.15 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.02 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.19 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.02 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:43 | 0.04 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:25 | 0.01 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.42 | −0.6 | 56:26 |