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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 31, 2016·TD Garden, Boston

Buffalo Sabres 1, Boston Bruins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.

BOS winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Moulson–Foligno–EichelOkposo–Bailey–ReinhartGionta–Kane–GirgensonsGionta–Kane–LarssonGrant–Deslauriers–BaileyOkposo–Reinhart–EichelOkposo–Kane–ReinhartGionta–Foligno–EichelOkposo–Girgensons–ReinhartDeslauriers–Girgensons–BaileyGionta–Grant–KaneGionta–Deslauriers–GirgensonsMoulson–Kane–EichelOkposo–Foligno–ReinhartBogosian–McCabeMcCabe–RistolainenFranson–FalkFalk–RistolainenFalk–BogosianFranson–McCabeBogosian–RistolainenFranson–BogosianFranson–RistolainenGorges–Ristolainen
Bergeron–Marchand–Pastrnak1:380.00–0.001:250.09–0.001:270.00–0.022:320.17–0.141:080.24–0.161:570.00–0.103:350.31–0.180:420.00–0.001:160.09–0.101:230.00–0.021:340.17–0.04
Krejci–Spooner–Vatrano2:330.23–0.050:310.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:440.00–0.040:390.00–0.000:400.02–0.250:570.00–0.000:460.00–0.002:340.17–0.050:370.00–0.000:510.00–0.040:400.02–0.251:080.00–0.001:090.07–0.001:150.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:340.04–0.00
Moore–Hayes–Blidh0:500.14–0.031:230.04–0.001:430.00–0.062:010.19–0.03
Hayes–Schaller–Czarnik0:310.00–0.200:550.00–0.001:400.03–0.200:570.03–0.000:330.00–0.02
Moore–Nash–Blidh2:030.02–0.180:500.00–0.180:540.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Nash–Schaller–Czarnik0:350.00–0.050:300.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:090.06–0.05
Chara–Carlo2:560.21–0.001:330.00–0.120:360.00–0.000:550.00–0.040:380.00–0.051:020.06–0.003:530.17–0.050:310.04–0.021:500.00–0.161:010.00–0.001:150.04–0.000:460.00–0.100:560.00–0.001:140.10–0.02
McQuaid–Krug0:470.13–0.002:290.11–0.001:100.00–0.022:130.17–0.140:320.02–0.001:420.05–0.102:060.08–0.000:320.02–0.000:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:530.10–0.000:410.00–0.020:390.02–0.001:370.17–0.04
Miller–Miller0:350.00–0.060:500.14–0.031:150.04–0.000:490.00–0.160:310.00–0.200:430.00–0.250:550.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:190.00–0.102:310.19–0.091:060.00–0.441:430.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Miller–Krug0:550.23–0.001:280.26–0.040:420.03–0.00
Chara–McQuaid0:440.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:060.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
McQuaid–Miller0:450.02–0.050:330.00–0.00
Miller–Carlo0:310.00–0.050:320.00–0.05
Chara–Miller0:390.00–0.00
Krug–Carlo
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FKrejci FSpooner FVatrano FNash FCzarnik FSchaller FHayes FBlidh FMoore FKrug DMcQuaid DChara DCarlo DMiller DMiller DRask GKane FGionta FLarsson FEichel FMoulson FFoligno FOkposo FReinhart FGirgensons FDeslauriers FBailey FGrant FGorges DRistolainen DMcCabe DBogosian DFranson DFalk DLehner G
BOSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3228:560:542:3954
Jake McCabeBUF3125:290:491:3535
Zdeno CharaBOS2524:561:002:3023
Zach BogosianBUF2923:540:491:4306
Jack EichelBUF2421:440:542:3045
Sam ReinhartBUF2121:021:002:0832
Kyle OkposoBUF2420:360:522:0843
Torey KrugBOS2519:500:481:5652
Brandon CarloBOS2319:330:512:0342
Brad MarchandBOS2319:190:501:5531
Patrice BergeronBOS2319:080:501:5912
Brian GiontaBUF2218:440:511:4332
David KrejciBOS2218:370:511:1733
Cody FransonBUF2418:370:471:3731
Adam McQuaidBOS2418:230:461:2412
David PastrnakBOS2117:510:511:2331
Evander KaneBUF2117:290:501:3321
Marcus FolignoBUF2216:320:451:1822
Justin FalkBUF2416:180:411:1022
Colin MillerBOS1815:530:531:2541
Ryan SpoonerBOS2015:120:461:1740
Kevan MillerBOS2115:110:431:3212
Frank VatranoBOS1814:290:481:1740
Austin CzarnikBOS1814:190:481:1712
Tim SchallerBOS1813:540:461:1720
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2113:490:391:0112
Justin BaileyBUF1812:560:431:0821
Jimmy HayesBOS1412:050:521:3401
Dominic MooreBOS1811:210:381:3923
Matt MoulsonBUF1311:130:522:3022
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1310:370:491:1310
Riley NashBOS1610:210:391:0924
Anton BlidhBOS129:550:501:3421
Derek GrantBUF149:220:401:1613
Josh GorgesBUF53:060:370:5611
Johan LarssonBUF32:430:541:2000